Newmarket
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Betfred Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by 11lbs and carrying the lightest weight, which gives him a theoretical advantage in a race where everyone else has more to carry. His overall record is genuinely impressive — 10 wins from 30 races, winning 1 in 3, which is comfortably the best win rate among the more experienced runners here. The catch is that his best form has come over shorter distances, and 1m 6f may be stretching his comfort zone.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"He's a little star. He doesn't look anything like a hurdler but he keeps running well in all the handicaps. He also ran some race at Goodwood when we switched him back to the Flat this summer - the one who beat him won a Listed race next time out - and I expect he'll go on the all-weather soon as well. 21-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
One of only a small number of horses in this field who has actually won at Newmarket, and he did it in a Class 2 race — the same level as today. His record of 12 finishes in the money from just 14 races is remarkable, and at 7.8-1 he is among the shorter-priced runners. The main worry is that his last run was a distant fourth at Musselburgh, beaten over 12 lengths, and he has never won on the dry ground expected today.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the field by 5lbs, and the only runner who has both won over this course and distance and has the best record on today's dry ground — two wins from five attempts on it. The major question mark is that he hasn't raced for 233 days, the longest absence of anyone here, which introduces real uncertainty. The editorial verdict notes that the expected rain would have helped him, but without it, backers are being asked to trust a very talented horse who has been off the track for nearly eight months.
Top rated by 5lbs
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Absent 233 days (longest in field)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best record in the field specifically over today's distance of 1m 6f — two wins from four attempts at the trip, which is a 50% conversion rate that no rival can match at this distance. He is trained by Charlie Johnston, who also saddles Align The Stars and Artisan Dancer today, giving the yard three runners. The problem is his draw in stall 10, which sits in the mid-range where Newmarket data shows horses win far less often, and he has never won on dry ground.
Best record at this trip (2 from 4)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"I thought he ran like he was a little bit rusty on his comeback. He's got entries in a one-mile-six-furlong handicap at the Guineas meeting and the Chester Cup, but William Buick suggested coming back in trip, so Newmarket is the most likely of his options. I'm sure he'll come on for Friday's run and it wouldn't surprise me to see him land a big one this season. 21-04-26"
TrackLab Insight
Won last time out at Kempton and has serious aspirations — his trainer believes he could one day compete at the top level over staying distances, and his record backs that up with a 36% win rate at this trip and beyond. Drawn in stall 1, which is prime position at Newmarket over this distance where low draws win at twice the rate of middle draws. The editorial verdict singles him out as one of the two best bets in the race, making this a horse to take seriously.
Mid-range in the market (8.4)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"The wheels came off a little bit last season but he came into this year with a clean slate and I thought he won very well on his comeback at Kempton. He's a huge horse and it's quite possible he's stronger and more mature as a five-year-old, and will see out those extreme distances better than he did last term. His next run will be in either a valuable one-mile-six-furlong handicap at the Guineas meeting or the Chester Cup. He won't run when there's any soft in the going description and, given that he's just won a Queen's Prize on the all-weather, the Northumberland Plate looks an obvious mid-season target. 21-04-26"
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.9-1, and the trainer William Haggas is in the best form of anyone in this field — winning 5 from 18 in the last two weeks. The concern is that Dramatic Star has never won on good or dry ground in three attempts, and his last run was a fairly distant sixth. The low draw in stall 4 helps, and the combination of a top trainer and a horse shortening in the market is worth noting.
Trainer in best form (5 from 18 last 2wk)
Market favourite (5.9)
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in this field with just eight races, but the record is eye-catching — three wins and six top-three finishes, a 38% win rate that puts most rivals to shame. His problem today is that he has never won on dry ground, and he also has a mid-draw in stall 7 where the data suggests horses win half as often as those drawn low. His odds have drifted sharply from 9-1 to 12.5-1, suggesting the market has cooled on him.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks this horse out as one of the two most likely winners, and there's a compelling story behind it — he was unlucky in this very race last year. The most experienced runner in the field with 49 races, he also carries the highest rating among the co-top-weights and is one of only two horses rated 101, which confirms he belongs at this level. His three most recent runs were all abroad at Meydan and can likely be set aside as he returns to more familiar British conditions.
Most experienced (49 runs, field avg 26)
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 48 races under his belt, but that experience cuts both ways — he has never won on normal or dry ground, which is exactly what he faces today. His eight career wins have almost all come on standard all-weather surfaces, and he has never won on a right-handed track with a galloping layout, which Newmarket is. Hard to make a case for him at 26-1.
Among the more experienced (48 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Nine career wins and a strong record at Kempton and Wolverhampton, but those are both all-weather tracks — he has never won on normal grass conditions, which is what today's dry Newmarket surface represents. Drawn in stall 11, a mid-draw that the course data shows is the worst place to be over this trip. His trainer has gone without a win in 12 attempts over the last two weeks, which adds to the concern.
One of the more successful in the field (9 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Rated joint-second highest in the field alongside Kihavah, and his record on dry ground is outstanding — three wins from six races, the best conversion rate on this surface of any horse here. The problem is he hasn't run for 232 days, almost as long an absence as Subsequent, and his last three runs before that break were all poor. At 18.5-1 and drifting in the market, punters aren't convinced the long layoff can be forgiven.
2nd highest rated (OR 101)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that Charging Thunder has already won over this exact course and distance — one of only a handful in this field who can say that. He was a decent second last time out at Beverley just 18 days ago, showing he's in reasonable form. However, at eight years old and with odds drifting to 31-1, the market isn't convinced he can reproduce his best here, and his record on dry ground is limited.
Has won over this course and distance
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