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Marnier

Marnier is a 4-year-old who has taken a while to find his feet, but there are signs that things are starting to click. Across 9 races, he has one win and five places to his name — a win rate of around 1 in every 9 races — but that record undersells how consistently he has been competitive. He has been out of the frame entirely only three times, which means he keeps showing up when it matters, even if the winner's enclosure has been a rare destination.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Saxon Warrior
Mother
Manzanilla
Owner
Normandie Stud Ltd
Rating
86

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
1
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
55.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That one win came at Lingfield Park back in November 2025, and it arrived over a longer trip — somewhere between a mile and six furlongs and two miles. That detail is worth paying attention to. In that distance range, Marnier has won 1 from 3 races, which works out at 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3. For context, that is dramatically better than his overall record, and it suggests he is a horse who genuinely benefits from being asked to stay on and grind. Not every horse finds that extra distance — some find it a chore. Marnier seems to find it a release.

He has spent most of his career in the hands of Robert Havlin, who has partnered him in 8 of his 9 races. Together they have that one win from 8 outings, a 12% win rate, but Havlin will know this horse's quirks as well as anyone, and that kind of continuity matters. The stable behind them is John and Thady Gosden, one of the most powerful yards in British racing, based at Newmarket. With 140 winners already this season, they are not a team short of options — so the fact that Marnier keeps getting a run suggests they believe there is more in him yet.

His recent form reads 6-2-7-1-5-2, with that 1 being the Lingfield win back in November and a second place since then showing he has held his level. He raced just yesterday, which means he is very much in active training and in the thick of things. The question now is whether the team can find him a longer-distance race on a track that suits — because when those pieces line up, Marnier has already shown he knows what to do with the opportunity.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 33% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 May
6th
Newmarket
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 6 runners
6 Apr
7th
Kempton Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
4 Nov
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 3 runners
3 Oct
5th
Ascot
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
10 Jun
2nd
Salisbury
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 3 runners
29 May
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 5 runners
7 May
4th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners
11 Apr
3rd
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Robert Havlin Current Jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Nov 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 7 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Oct 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 second 10 Jun 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 15 May 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 third 11 Apr 0%