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Eight years old, 15 races, and still searching for a first win — Bayonetta is the definition of a horse that places without converting, having finished in the top three eight times without ever crossing the line first. She has raced here at Downpatrick five times without winning, and her last run was just nine days ago, which is a quick turnaround. There is nothing in her record to suggest today will be the day she finally breaks through.

• Winless from 15 career races

Sixteen races and still no wins — Phildante has managed three place finishes to show she is not entirely out of her depth, but recent form of 6th, 10th, and 12th tells a discouraging story. She is returning from six months off the track, which adds another question mark, and at this stage of her career that first win feels no closer. Hard to make a case for her here.

• Winless from 16 career races

Nine years old, 37 races, and yet to win a single one — Toor Moon is perhaps the most remarkable case of near-misses in this field, having placed 13 times without ever finishing first. He ran at this course 54 days ago and finished third, which shows he is at least competitive here, and he arrives in reasonable nick after two recent runs. But 37 races of evidence is a hard thing to argue against.

• Lowest rated, 9lbs below average

The lowest weight carrier in the entire field, but that advantage counts for little when the form reads: 15th, pulled up, 10th, 12th, pulled up, 7th. Milesfromthehonk has never once finished in the places across six career races, and her last outing was a 15th-place finish beaten over 40 lengths. Even with a fresh trainer pairing, this is a very difficult horse to recommend.

• Carries lowest weight in field

Twenty-three races and still without a win, Joya Del Mar is the editorial team's pick as the one to be on — the argument being that her best form makes her well-placed in the weights despite a disappointing run here last time. The full result of that run 14 days ago isn't known from the data, but the editorial verdict suggests she was below her best and is worth forgiving. At 19/1, the market hasn't bought into that view, but she has course experience and there's a case she's been given a squeak by the assessor.

• Winless from 23 career races

Seventeen races without a win and her last outing ended in a pulled-up at Tramore nearly six months ago — Gortmore Lady has not given her supporters much recently. She has never won at Downpatrick in six attempts, and the extended absence adds another layer of doubt. Four career place finishes show she can be competitive, but there is little here to suggest a winning performance is imminent.

• Winless from 17 career races

Jimli's Cave is one of only two horses in this field who has won over this exact course and distance at Downpatrick, which is a genuine advantage in a field full of winless horses. His record on today's ground type is also the best of any runner here — 1 win from 5 races on similar conditions. Recent form has been poor, including an 11th place and a pulled-up, so he needs to recapture that winning form, but the course-and-distance win makes him interesting.

• Has won over this course and distance
• Best record on this ground (1 from 5)

Scary Askari has been off the track for 142 days and has never raced on today's slightly soft ground, so there are two unknowns to navigate before even considering his modest form. Six races have produced just one placing, and his last three finishes were 13th, 6th, and 8th — none of them close. This is a horse with a lot to prove and not much in the record to inspire confidence.

• Never raced on slightly soft ground

Boston Queen has been off the track for 229 days — the longest absence in the entire field — and her four career runs have produced no wins and no places, with finishing positions no better than sixth. She is trained by Gordon Elliott, one of the most powerful yards in Ireland, which is the one thing in her favour, but returning from nearly eight months off with a blank record is a tough ask. Hard to back with any confidence.

• Absent 229 days (longest in field)

A 10-year-old with 43 races behind her, Game And Glory has won just twice in her career and has never won at Downpatrick in seven attempts — a tough combination. Her last three completed runs include a fall and a pulled-up, and she has never won on this left-handed course type. At 29/1, the market has assessed this accurately.

• One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)

At 11 years old, Lady Iseult is the oldest horse in the field and her single career win came over three years ago. Her last completed run before a no-result last time out was a pulled-up at Down Royal, and she has never won on soft or yielding ground. At 51/1, the market has this one assessed correctly.

• Among the more experienced (18 career races)

The top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs and, crucially, one of only two runners who has won over this exact course and distance — his Downpatrick win came just 54 days ago, making it the most recent course-and-distance victory in the race. The big concern is his ground record: he has never won on soft ground in 11 attempts, and today's slightly wet conditions are a real stumbling block for a horse who has done his best work on better ground. Most experienced runner in the field with 48 races under his belt, but the ground could be his undoing.

• Top rated by 3lbs
• Has won over this course and distance
• Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
• Most experienced (48 runs, field avg 17)

Five races have produced finishing positions of 20th, 14th, 11th, 11th, and 12th — Jetstream Jeff has been towards the back of the field in every single race he has run. He has never raced on today's slightly soft ground and has yet to show any ability to get competitive. At 81/1, the market has this one right.

• Never raced on slightly soft ground

Finished sixth at Warwick very recently — this horse is running in its second race in under three weeks, which is a busy schedule for one still finding its way. Three races, no wins, no places, and a form line trending in the wrong direction from fifth to tenth to sixth. The 26-1 price reflects a horse that hasn't yet shown it belongs at the sharp end of a race.

• Lightly raced (3 career races)

One race at Ludlow last month and the result is listed as unknown here — so there's genuinely very little to go on. The jockey-trainer combination has no wins from their only race together, and the market has this at 23-1. A horse that needs to show its hand before any serious assessment is possible.

• Lightly raced (1 career races)

Two races in and the most recent was a distant tenth, beaten over 75 lengths at Chepstow — that's a tough result to put a positive spin on. There's almost no data to work with here, and what little there is doesn't encourage confidence. At 71-1, the market agrees.

• Lightly raced (2 career races)

By far the most experienced horse in the field with 12 races, but experience counts for little when it has produced just one placed finish and zero wins — the field average is just three races per horse, so this one has had every chance to show its best. At odds of 151, the market has effectively written it off, and it's hard to argue. Running with a tongue strap fitted, which sometimes signals a horse that has had breathing issues to overcome.

• Most experienced (12 runs, field avg 3)

Three races, no wins, no places, and a spell where it finished 11th beaten nearly 178 lengths — that's a horse that has really struggled to make an impact so far. The jockey-trainer pairing hasn't won from 27 races together, which adds to the concern. At 151-1, this is one for the experience rather than the result.

• Lightly raced (3 career races)

Fourth and ninth from two races so far — the form is pointing in the wrong direction. Drawn in stall 9 where the stats at this course and distance are notably weak compared to the low-drawn horses. Hard to make a strong case here.

• Lightly raced (2 career races)

No form to go on, as this is a first racecourse appearance, and stall 8 is not a great starting position at Pontefract over 6 furlongs where low draws dominate. By Calyx, who produces speedy, early-maturing youngsters, so the breeding at least suits today's sprint trip. One to watch rather than back with confidence.

• Racecourse debut

First race, no form, and a draw in stall 7 where the win stats at this course are noticeably weaker than for the low-drawn horses. By Oasis Dream, a stallion famous for producing quick, sharp two-year-olds, so the breeding is at least relevant for a 6-furlong sprint. Tim Easterby and Sean Kirrane have a solid record together, winning roughly 1 in 10 races — useful experience in the saddle.

• Racecourse debut

Another first-time runner with no form to assess, but Mr Minz has a solid draw in stall 2 — one of the best positions at this course and distance. The trainer and jockey have won just 1 race from 28 together, which is a modest record to bring into a race like this. Arrive curious, but keep expectations in check.

• Racecourse debut

Debut runner drawn in stall 10, the widest position in the field and one of the least favourable spots at this course over 6 furlongs. The jockey and trainer have won just 2 from 58 races together, which is a thin record. Needs everything to go right from the worst draw in the race.

• Racecourse debut

Twelve races, zero wins, zero places — that is arguably the most barren record in this field. To make matters worse, the horse unseated its rider at this very course just 14 days ago, raising obvious questions about jumping reliability. Even at 8/1, there is very little in the data to suggest a first win is coming here.

• Winless from 12 career races

The editorial nap for this race, and it's easy to see why — this front-runner won last time out before two jumping mishaps interrupted its season, and horses that like to lead can be very hard to catch when fresh. The concern is that it has fallen or unseated in two of its last three runs, so today's fences will be a stern test of its jumping. If it stays upright, it could dictate from the front and prove very tough to reel in.

• Never raced on slightly soft ground

Won at Punchestown last October but followed that up with an eighth-place finish, beaten nearly 60 lengths, at Kilbeggan just four weeks ago — a confusing mix of form signals. The five-year-old has a poor record on faster ground, but today's slightly wet surface is an unknown quantity too. Hard to trust given that wide swing in recent performances.

• Mid-range in the market (10.0)

Six races, zero wins, and now returning from a seven-month absence — this horse has a lot to prove before it can be seriously considered. The sole placing came at this very course at Downpatrick over ten months ago, which is at least something to hold onto, but the form since has gone backwards. Likely to need this run to blow away the cobwebs.

• Mid-range in the market (8.5)

Four career races, zero wins, and limited data from the most recent run at Bellewstown makes this horse very hard to assess. A 34/1 outsider with no wins and a single place to its name, Double Power gives punters very little to latch onto ahead of this step up in class. One for the brave.

• Placed in 2 of last 3 races

By far the most experienced horse in the field with 28 career races — nearly three times the field average — but that experience has not brought much reward, with just two wins to show for it. Most tellingly, she has zero wins from nine races on wet or muddy ground, and today's slightly soft surface looks set against her. At 17/1, the market is not convinced.

• Most experienced (28 runs, field avg 10)

The longest absence in the field — nearly ten months off the track — combined with just three career races and not a single top-three finish makes this the most unknown quantity here. Finishing 7th, 10th and 11th across those three outings gives no reason for confidence, and returning after such a long break without a win to its name is a significant ask. Very much in the dark.

• Never raced on slightly soft ground
• Lightly raced (3 career races)
• Absent 296 days (longest in field)

Hasn't won on soft or wet ground in three attempts, which is a concern given today's conditions, and was pulled up last time out over seven months ago. The form figures make grim reading — finishing 7th, 9th and pulled up across the last three runs — and a 34/1 price tells you the market has little faith. Hard to make a case here.

• Best record on this ground (1 from 5)

Ten races, zero wins, zero places — one of only two horses in this field with that record across double-figure career runs, which makes it almost impossible to argue a case for. The last run ended in a 17th-place finish, beaten nearly 65 lengths, and a pulled-up run before that completes a bleak recent picture. At 50/1, the market has spoken clearly.

• Winless from 10 career races

Three races, no wins, and a recent run at Perth just nine days ago that ended in sixth place beaten 27 lengths — this horse is racing again quickly without much to build on. The best result on record is a third place at Huntingdon, which at least shows some ability, but the form before and after that has been disappointing. At 23.0, the market is reflecting the lack of evidence in its favour.

• Lightly raced (3 career races)

One race into its career and it ended in a 19th-place finish at Newbury, beaten over 56 lengths — a brutal introduction. The jockey, Jonjo O'Neill Jr, is one of the more accomplished riders in this field and wins roughly 1 in 7 races with this trainer, so there's pedigree in the saddle at least. But there's simply not enough data here to rate this horse with any confidence.

• Never raced on normal ground
• Lightly raced (1 career races)

Two races run, no wins, no places, and a non-completion in the other — the record is as thin as it gets. Racing again just nine days after a sixth-place finish at Newton Abbot, there's no real form to get excited about here. At 36.0, this is a horse that needs to show significantly more than it has done to warrant serious consideration.

• Lightly raced (2 career races)

Five races and not a single top-three finish to show for it — Royal Mark is the longest-priced runner in the field at 151.0 alongside Pivotal Days, and the form book gives you little reason to argue with that. Recent outings include a pulled-up run and a finish beaten over 100 lengths here at Worcester on this very course. Honest enough to keep turning up, but struggling to compete.

• Outsider at 151.0

With 14 career races, this is by far the most experienced horse in a field that averages just three races per runner — but experience hasn't translated into results lately, with the last six runs reading 9-4-7-5-8-9. The one career win on record came under different conditions, and the data flags a poor record on normal ground — zero wins from six attempts on similar going. Hard to make a case for at 151.0.

• Most experienced (14 runs, field avg 3)
• Best career win rate in field (1 in 14)

Just one win from 18 races tells you this is a horse that competes without often winning, and three placings in the last six runs confirms it tends to finish thereabouts rather than take centre stage. The draw in stall five is actually the best in the field given the strong low-draw advantage at this course and distance. But the overall profile — limited wins, modest form — does not scream winner even with the positional advantage.

• Placed in 2 of last 3 races

This horse finished 2nd here at Pontefract just 31 days ago, beaten by less than a length, which makes it one to consider — but last time out was a disappointing 8th at Beverley, so the form has blown hot and cold. The ground might actually suit, with a win recorded on soft conditions and another on slightly soft, unlike several rivals who have struggled on wet ground. The draw in stall four gives a reasonable position, though the 13/1 price suggests the market is not convinced after that Beverley flop.

• Outsider at 13.0

Seven career wins from 62 races makes this one of the more experienced horses in the field, but Pontefract itself has been a graveyard for this horse — zero wins from five attempts here. The recent form is also pretty flat, with three consecutive finishes of 5th, 6th and 6th, and a record of zero wins from seven races on today's soft-ish ground is a big worry. Hard to build a strong case here.

• One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)

Rated 12lbs below the field average — the biggest gap of any runner here — this horse enters carrying the lowest weight, but that advantage rarely overrides a significant class gap of this size. The recent form is poor, with a 7th and an 8th in the last two runs, and despite the draw in stall three being decent, a record of zero wins from five attempts at Pontefract makes the 26/1 price look about right. Honest but outgunned.

• Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
• Carries lowest weight in field

This horse arrives here on the back of a win at Catterick 30 days ago — its only career victory — so at least it comes in with some momentum. The problem is a record of zero wins from eight races on left-handed tracks like Pontefract, and zero wins from three attempts on today's style of ground. It also finished 10th here at Pontefract just 45 days ago, so this course has not been kind to it.

• Placed in 2 of last 3 races