Downpatrick
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Down Royal Corporation Of Horsebreeders Beginners Chase
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4/1, and for good reason — this horse won at Punchestown just nine days ago, making it the freshest winner in the field and one arriving in the best possible form. Trainer Gavin Cromwell and jockey Keith Donoghue are a formidable combination, winning together roughly 1 in every 7 races. The only question is whether stepping up so quickly after a win suits, but the market clearly thinks it does.
Market favourite (4.33)
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TrackLab Insight
One win from 14 career races, and that win came over two and a half years ago — this horse has been consistently close without delivering since then, finishing 5th twice in its most recent outings. Crucially, it has never raced on today's slightly soft ground, and its record on any kind of wet surface is poor. Recent form at least shows it is running consistently, but consistent rarely means winning.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Trainer Quotes
Dec 2023
"She was a point-to-point and bumper winner before joining us and ran a great race at Ludlow in October when she was unlucky after being hampered. She ran on to be second and Newcastle last time might have come too soon. We've done a few tests, checking her muscle enzymes as she can be a bit moody, and I don't think we've seen the best of her. We're still getting to know her and it could be that she's a spring horse, but the talent is there and she jumps and works well. She's a work in progress and might want a sounder surface, and it's up to me and the team to unlock what's under the bonnet. 13-12-23"
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TrackLab Insight
One win from 15 career races makes this one of the more experienced horses in the field, but experience has not translated into results — three consecutive double-digit finishes tell a damaging story. The one bright spot is a solid record on softer ground in the right conditions, but today's slightly wet surface is where this horse has historically struggled most. Hard to fancy.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 3.5 races — and crucially the only horse here that has already won at this distance of 2m 4f, which makes it stand out from its rivals on paper. Trained by Gordon Elliott, one of jump racing's most powerful yards, and most recent form shows a win at Hexham just over five months ago. The question mark is today's ground, which it has never encountered before.
Only winner at this distance
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
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TrackLab Insight
Second in the betting at 6/1 despite never having won in nine career races — the market is backing potential over proof. The five-year-old has finished fourth or fifth in several recent outings, suggesting it can at least compete, but converting that into a win has so far proved impossible. Interesting odds for a horse still searching for its first victory.
2nd in the market (6.2)
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TrackLab Insight
Twelve races, zero wins, zero places — that is arguably the most barren record in this field. To make matters worse, the horse unseated its rider at this very course just 14 days ago, raising obvious questions about jumping reliability. Even at 8/1, there is very little in the data to suggest a first win is coming here.
Winless from 12 career races
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TrackLab Insight
The editorial nap for this race, and it's easy to see why — this front-runner won last time out before two jumping mishaps interrupted its season, and horses that like to lead can be very hard to catch when fresh. The concern is that it has fallen or unseated in two of its last three runs, so today's fences will be a stern test of its jumping. If it stays upright, it could dictate from the front and prove very tough to reel in.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
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TrackLab Insight
Won at Punchestown last October but followed that up with an eighth-place finish, beaten nearly 60 lengths, at Kilbeggan just four weeks ago — a confusing mix of form signals. The five-year-old has a poor record on faster ground, but today's slightly wet surface is an unknown quantity too. Hard to trust given that wide swing in recent performances.
Mid-range in the market (10.0)
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TrackLab Insight
Six races, zero wins, and now returning from a seven-month absence — this horse has a lot to prove before it can be seriously considered. The sole placing came at this very course at Downpatrick over ten months ago, which is at least something to hold onto, but the form since has gone backwards. Likely to need this run to blow away the cobwebs.
Mid-range in the market (8.5)
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TrackLab Insight
Four career races, zero wins, and limited data from the most recent run at Bellewstown makes this horse very hard to assess. A 34/1 outsider with no wins and a single place to its name, Double Power gives punters very little to latch onto ahead of this step up in class. One for the brave.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 28 career races — nearly three times the field average — but that experience has not brought much reward, with just two wins to show for it. Most tellingly, she has zero wins from nine races on wet or muddy ground, and today's slightly soft surface looks set against her. At 17/1, the market is not convinced.
Most experienced (28 runs, field avg 10)
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TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field — nearly ten months off the track — combined with just three career races and not a single top-three finish makes this the most unknown quantity here. Finishing 7th, 10th and 11th across those three outings gives no reason for confidence, and returning after such a long break without a win to its name is a significant ask. Very much in the dark.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 296 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
Hasn't won on soft or wet ground in three attempts, which is a concern given today's conditions, and was pulled up last time out over seven months ago. The form figures make grim reading — finishing 7th, 9th and pulled up across the last three runs — and a 34/1 price tells you the market has little faith. Hard to make a case here.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
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TrackLab Insight
Ten races, zero wins, zero places — one of only two horses in this field with that record across double-figure career runs, which makes it almost impossible to argue a case for. The last run ended in a 17th-place finish, beaten nearly 65 lengths, and a pulled-up run before that completes a bleak recent picture. At 50/1, the market has spoken clearly.
Winless from 10 career races
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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