:

Paul Nolan

Four years into his training career, Paul Nolan has already shown he knows how to deliver on the biggest stage. Since taking out his licence in 2021, he has built a record of 94 career winners, and in the past twelve months alone he has sent out 25 winners from 265 runners — that's roughly 1 in every 11 races, a solid return that tells you his horses are competitive rather than just making up the numbers.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Role
Trainer
Based
Enniscorthy, Co. Wexford
Record
25 wins from 265 races
Win rate
9.4%
Top jockey
Best course
Wexford (17.1% from 41 races)
Best going
Good (firm-ish)

📊 Key Numbers

A snapshot of this trainer's performance over the last 12 months
265
Races
25
Wins
9.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%

🐎 Today's & Upcoming Runners

Horses Paul Nolan has entered for upcoming races

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Trainer Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline achievement so far is a pair of top-level wins, both coming at Doncaster on the same day — 24 January 2026. Landing one Class 1 race is a moment any trainer remembers. Landing two in a single afternoon at one of Britain's premier tracks is the kind of day that defines an early career. It signals that Nolan isn't just ticking along; he can prepare a horse to peak at exactly the right moment when the prize money and the prestige are on the line.

There are patterns emerging that suggest where his strengths lie. At Down Royal, he has turned out 3 winners from just 8 runners — that's a remarkable 1 in every 2.7 runners converting into a winner, a figure that suggests he understands the track well and targets it smartly. Trainers who win at that rate at a specific venue tend to do so deliberately, not by accident.

His most productive partnership in the saddle is with jockey Sean O'Keeffe, who has ridden 56 times for the yard and produced 7 winners together — winning roughly 1 in every 8 rides, which edges ahead of Nolan's overall average and hints at a genuine working understanding between the two. O'Keeffe clearly gets the best out of these horses. Nolan has also begun to develop a relationship with Le Moulin Rouge, winning 1 of their 3 races together — a horse worth watching as that partnership develops.

Ninety-four winners in four years, two top-level wins, and a trainer who clearly knows his way around Down Royal and Doncaster. The foundations are in place.

📈 Form Trend

How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
11.5%
May
14.3%
Jun
10.5%
Jul
0%
Aug
6.7%
Sep
10%
Oct
8.8%
Nov
3.0%
Dec
23.1%
Jan
9.1%
Feb
3.7%
Mar
19.2%
Apr

🎯 Where This Trainer Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Good to yielding (mild give)
Yielding (slightly soft)
Soft (muddy)
Soft to heavy (wet)
Heavy (very wet)
Ok
Yielding to soft (damp)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, hilly
Ok
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight
Avoids

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

The riders they work with most, sorted by rides together
Sean O'Keeffe First Choice
12.5%
Win rate
7/56
Won / Rode
Eoin Staples
11.9%
Win rate
5/42
Won / Rode
11.1%
Win rate
4/36
Won / Rode
9.1%
Win rate
3/33
Won / Rode
5.6%
Win rate
1/18
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
3/12
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Mr B T Stone
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
Ms H Phillips
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Peter Smithers
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

Top Horses

The strongest horses currently associated with this trainer
Form: F-32
Form: 889P51
Form: 776001
Form: 789531
Form: -25002
Form: 964516
Form: -23133
Form: 2-2121
Form: 0-57U
Form: 268480

🏟 Course Record

Win rate at each course, sorted by number of races
CourseRacesWinsWin rate
Wexford 41 7 17.1%
Fairyhouse 26 2 7.7%
Leopardstown 24 1 4.2%
Limerick 17 2 11.8%
Punchestown 16 2 12.5%
Cheltenham 15 0 0%
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3%
Galway 12 0 0%
Navan 11 0 0%
Naas 11 0 0%
Clonmel 9 1 11.1%
Down Royal 8 3 37.5%
Listowel 8 1 12.5%
Cork 7 1 14.3%
Downpatrick 6 1 16.7%
Roscommon 5 0 0%
Thurles 5 0 0%
Dundalk 5 0 0%
Tipperary 5 0 0%
Bellewstown 4 1 25%
Ballinrobe 4 0 0%
Kilbeggan 4 0 0%
Tramore 3 0 0%
Doncaster 2 2 100%
Sligo 2 0 0%
The Curragh 1 0 0%
Newbury 1 0 0%
Killarney 1 0 0%

📅 Recent Results

The last 20 results, most recent first
30 Apr
Punchestown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
30 Apr
Punchestown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
2nd
29 Apr
Punchestown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
2nd
28 Apr
Punchestown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
10th
25 Apr
Limerick · 1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding
2nd
24 Apr
Kilbeggan · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
8th
24 Apr
Kilbeggan · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
4th
24 Apr
Kilbeggan · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
5th
18 Apr
Bellewstown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
18 Apr
Bellewstown · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
Won
14 Apr
Clonmel · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
12th
12 Apr
Down Royal · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
Won
12 Apr
Down Royal · Long Distance (2m+) · Good
Won
10 Apr
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
10 Apr
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding
4th
10 Apr
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
Won
10 Apr
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
Won
10 Apr
Wexford · Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding
5th
9 Apr
Gowran Park · 7f – 1m · Soft
7th
6 Apr
Fairyhouse · Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft