Downpatrick
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Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the only horse in the field to have won over this exact course and distance — a significant edge over its rivals. The editorial verdict highlights it is rated 120 over fences but runs off a 10lb lower mark today over hurdles, which makes it well treated on paper. That said, it was beaten nearly 27 lengths at Punchestown last time out, and it has never won on soft ground in three attempts.
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Market favourite (3.75)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
One of only two horses in this field to have won at Downpatrick, and crucially it did so just 14 days ago — it is the freshest winner in the race. Winning back-to-back at the same track is a real possibility, and it arrives in the best recent form of any course winner here. The concern is that its record on soft or yielding ground is poor, and today's conditions are slightly soft.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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4
I'll Be Handy
15
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from 15 races makes this the least successful horse in the field on paper, and it has also been absent for 173 days — the longest break of any runner here. It has never raced on slightly soft ground before, so today brings two unknowns at once: a long absence and unfamiliar conditions.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Absent 173 days (longest in field)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 26 races under its belt, but that experience cuts both ways — this is a horse that wins roughly 1 in every 13 outings. It won here at Downpatrick eight months ago, but its last two runs have been poor, finishing 10th and 12th. The big concern is today's slightly soft ground, where it has zero wins from five attempts.
Most experienced (26 runs, field avg 13)
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TrackLab Insight
Boasts the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 7 races — and arrives here on the back of a win at Tramore 32 days ago, so it is in form. The problem is today's slightly soft ground: this horse has zero wins from seven attempts when conditions are soft, making the ground a genuine obstacle to its chances.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
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TrackLab Insight
Rated 18 pounds below the field average and carrying the lowest weight in the race — a big gap that tells you the official assessors think it is well below the class of most rivals here. It has also raced here at Downpatrick six times without winning. Zero wins from 13 career races, though it has placed three times, suggesting it can get involved without quite finishing the job.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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TrackLab Insight
One of the less experienced runners here with just seven races to its name, and it pulled up at its most recent outing at Kilbeggan 28 days ago — not a reassuring note to arrive on. It has yet to win in any of those seven races, though it did show some promise with a third-place finish earlier in its career. Data is thin, and the recent form gives little to work with.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, having won here at Downpatrick, which is worth noting. However, its recent form is poor — 11th, a pulled up, and 14th in its last three runs — and it has zero wins on soft, yielding, or good ground across its career. It is hard to make a case for it at 29/1 given those facts.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
One of the least experienced horses in the field with just six career races, and the record makes grim reading — no wins and no place finishes at all from those six outings. It ran here at Downpatrick 54 days ago and finished fifth, beaten 48 lengths. There is very little in the data to encourage confidence.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Has the best record of any horse in the field on today's type of ground — winning 1 from 3 races on slightly soft conditions — which is a small but genuine point of interest. However, it finished fourth and was beaten over 25 lengths at Perth just eight days ago, and its last win came nearly three years ago. Lightly raced with eight career outings, but the recent evidence is not encouraging.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
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TrackLab Insight
Six races and no wins make this one of the more limited profiles in the field, and this is the first time it has raced on slightly soft ground, so today is an unknown quantity. It did finish second here at Downpatrick 14 days ago, which is its only place on record, and it carries the second-lowest weight in the race. A first-time pairing between horse and jockey adds another layer of uncertainty.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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