The market favourite heading into this, though the odds have drifted sharply from where they opened, which is worth noting. He has won 1 from 3 races overall, but his last run was a distant third at Tramore, beaten nearly 20 lengths. Lightly raced and potentially still developing, but the drift in the market suggests punters have cooled on his chances here.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Market favourite (3.5)
Only two races in, but Le Questionnaire has placed in both of them, including a second at Tramore last month — the most solid recent form of any runner near the top of the market. Also trained by Gordon Elliott, he shapes as the chief rival to stablemate Holy Joe, and his second-place finish gives him a form edge over a field where most runners have very little to show.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (183 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and still searching for her second career win from 12 races, Cailin Deas has won on ground similar to today's conditions — her only victory came on softer footing, which is a genuine positive here. The concern is that she hasn't raced for over six months and fell at her last outing, which adds a layer of uncertainty on her return.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 12)
The editorial pick for this race, Holy Joe finished sixth on his only outing at Perth a month ago and should be sharper for that experience now. He is trained by Gordon Elliott, one of the most successful jumping trainers around, and the combination of that first run under his belt and a top yard behind him makes him the one to focus on — even if today's slightly soft ground is new to him.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
By far the most experienced runner in the field with 15 races — more than three times the field average — and yet still without a win to her name. She has placed six times, including back-to-back seconds at Dundalk earlier this season, but a distant ninth here at Downpatrick just two weeks ago was a step back, and winning remains elusive.
One race to his name, finishing eighth at Clonmel just eight days ago — a quick turnaround for a horse with so little experience. That sole outing gave us a starting point but not much encouragement, and taking on 17 rivals in only his second career race is a big ask.
Two races, no wins, no top-three finishes — Brohatna's record so far gives very little to work with. The six-year-old was beaten over 14 lengths in fifth here at Downpatrick just two weeks ago, which at least gives us a recent read on where he stands, and it wasn't encouraging.
One race, one fifth-place finish, and today's slightly soft ground is uncharted territory. Royal Mal is essentially an unknown quantity, and with very little to assess, this is more of a watch-and-learn run than a winning opportunity based on the evidence available.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
One race into his career, finishing 11th, there is almost nothing to go on for Glendaars Secret. Debut runs in big fields like this one rarely tell the full story, and at 34/1 he is firmly at the outside edge of the market.
Making his racecourse debut today, there is simply no form to assess for Undertheinfluence. The jockey and trainer combination has yet to win together from eight races, which adds little confidence going in blind on a first outing.
Making her racecourse debut today at the age of six, Idaho Expresso is a complete unknown in terms of what to expect. The trainer has a decent record with runners, winning roughly 1 in 7 races together with today's jockey, but without any form to point to, this is a leap of faith.
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance with 14 races run, but that experience has yet to produce a single win, and his last three runs show finishes of 13th, 7th, and 14th. He also races on slightly soft ground for the first time today, so conditions are an unknown on top of an already difficult form record.
Wearing blinkersFresh (321 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field — off the track for nearly a year — and a form record of four races with finishes of 10th, 11th, 9th, and 22nd makes this a very tough sell. Raleagh Scope has never finished in the top three in any race, and returning cold from such a long break against 17 rivals does not make the task easier.
A four-year-old racing for just the second time in a week, which is a rapid turnaround for a horse with so little experience. He has never raced on slightly soft ground before, and the jockey has never ridden for this trainer before — not the ideal set of circumstances for a horse still finding its feet.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)Runs again after just 7 days
Six years old and racing for the very first time, Yolanda's Star has no form at all to guide us. To make things harder, today's jockey and trainer have never worked together before, so even stable confidence is difficult to read.
A seven-year-old with only two races under his belt, which is unusually light experience for his age. He picked up a third place at Clonmel, which shows some ability, but today's slightly soft ground is new to him and his last result at Punchestown is unknown.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Three races in with two placed finishes, Magical Sal arrives wearing cheekpieces for the first time, a change in headgear trainers sometimes use to sharpen a horse's focus. Her last run at Downpatrick a fortnight ago is unknown, which leaves a gap in what we can say about her current form.
Four races, four finishes between seventh and ninth, and returning from over six months off the track — Butch Coolidge has yet to threaten the places in any of his outings. He is better priced than you might expect for a horse with such modest form, but the record offers little reason for optimism on his comeback run.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.