Worcester
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Fen Collison-Hughes Happy 21st Birthday Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 2.25, and the editorial verdict picks this one out as the horse most likely to win — and it's easy to see why, given the runner-up finish last time out at Hexham. As a younger, lighter-weighted horse compared to most of the field, it has physical advantages too, and a second place from four races suggests the win is close to coming. The main task is converting that recent promise into a first career victory.
Market favourite (2.25)
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TrackLab Insight
Only two races into its career, so there is still a lot we don't know about this horse. The most recent run — a third place at Chepstow — is encouraging, but it came 27 lengths behind the winner, which puts the form in perspective. With odds that have drifted sharply from near-evens to 8.5, the market is clearly cooling on its chances.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
The biggest question mark in the field: this horse hasn't raced in over 400 days — the longest absence of any runner here — and has never raced on normal ground conditions before. Three runs, no wins, and a year off the track means there are more unknowns than knowns. It will take a big performance first time back to justify favouritism in the betting at any point.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 400 days (longest in field)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict names this horse as the main danger to the favourite, and the record justifies the attention — one win from just three career races, meaning this horse has a better win rate than anyone else in the field. The concern is a pulled-up run last time out and a six-month absence since then, so fitness is a genuine question. If it bounces back to its winning form, it's the biggest threat to Crest Of Arms.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Only two hurdle races on record and neither has produced a win or a place, with the most recent outing ending in an eighth-place finish at Perth just eight days ago. Crucially, this horse has never raced on normal ground conditions before, so today's surface is an unknown quantity. The trainer, Olly Murphy, is a strong operator — but this horse hasn't given him much to work with yet.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Three races, no wins, and a recent run at Perth just nine days ago that ended in sixth place beaten 27 lengths — this horse is racing again quickly without much to build on. The best result on record is a third place at Huntingdon, which at least shows some ability, but the form before and after that has been disappointing. At 23.0, the market is reflecting the lack of evidence in its favour.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
One race into its career and it ended in a 19th-place finish at Newbury, beaten over 56 lengths — a brutal introduction. The jockey, Jonjo O'Neill Jr, is one of the more accomplished riders in this field and wins roughly 1 in 7 races with this trainer, so there's pedigree in the saddle at least. But there's simply not enough data here to rate this horse with any confidence.
Never raced on normal ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Two races run, no wins, no places, and a non-completion in the other — the record is as thin as it gets. Racing again just nine days after a sixth-place finish at Newton Abbot, there's no real form to get excited about here. At 36.0, this is a horse that needs to show significantly more than it has done to warrant serious consideration.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
Five races and not a single top-three finish to show for it — Royal Mark is the longest-priced runner in the field at 151.0 alongside Pivotal Days, and the form book gives you little reason to argue with that. Recent outings include a pulled-up run and a finish beaten over 100 lengths here at Worcester on this very course. Honest enough to keep turning up, but struggling to compete.
Outsider at 151.0
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TrackLab Insight
With 14 career races, this is by far the most experienced horse in a field that averages just three races per runner — but experience hasn't translated into results lately, with the last six runs reading 9-4-7-5-8-9. The one career win on record came under different conditions, and the data flags a poor record on normal ground — zero wins from six attempts on similar going. Hard to make a case for at 151.0.
Most experienced (14 runs, field avg 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 14)
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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