Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.2, but the recent form makes that hard to justify — fourth, eleventh, and fourth in his last three races. He's the youngest of the leading fancies at six years old and does have a solid record on today's ground, but his last run at Wincanton was well beaten. The market may be more hopeful than the form warrants.
Market favourite (5.2)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He's a solid horse who's done little wrong and ran an absolute cracker when fifth at Exeter last week on his first run since June. He was too keen, but I was very happy with him. He'll stay over hurdles this season and go chasing next time. He's consistent and wants a staying trip. 12-11-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Named as the main danger to the top pick, and the form backs that up: second in each of his last three races, finishing within three lengths of the winner twice. He's the youngest of the main contenders at just five years old, which suggests there could still be more to come. The one worry is that today's normal ground is where he has failed to win in four previous attempts.
Still searching for a first win from four races, but the second-highest official rating in the field tells you this horse is considered talented. The problem is that rating hasn't translated into a victory yet, and there's a gap in recent form where a result from Doncaster isn't even recorded. More promise than proof at this stage.
Joint-lowest rated horse in the field, sitting 9lbs below the field average — that's a significant gap in official ability terms. He's been placed in his last two races at Fontwell, so he's showing up and competing, but he's yet to demonstrate he can do it at a higher level. Hard to make a case for him against better-rated rivals today.
M. Joshua Newman(5)
·
K. Woollacott
· 8yo
· 11st 13lb
· OR 109
FormGround
9.5
Won 1 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The editorial nap, and the reason is straightforward: this horse just got off the mark at Taunton last month after a long wait, and first-time winners often improve sharply in the race that follows. His win rate of roughly 1 in every 15 races looks thin, but the recent form is pointing upward and today's normal ground suits him. The market has him second-best in the field.
Fresh (160 days off)Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The best record at today's distance of anyone in the field — one win from three attempts at 2m 7f — which is worth noting in a race where stamina will matter. The trouble is she hasn't run for over five months and her last two outings were well beaten. Returning from a break with a question mark over freshness.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (147 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (67% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Stands out as the horse with the best record on normal ground in the field — two wins from just three runs in these conditions — which directly applies today. The problem is he hasn't finished a race in his last two outings and hasn't raced for nearly five months. Big upside if he's back to his best, but there's plenty to take on trust.
The best win rate in the field — roughly 1 in every 5 races — gives Gasmani genuine credibility here, and back-to-back runs at Taunton show he is in decent nick right now. The concern is that he has never won on ground like today's, blanking in all three attempts on similar conditions. Odds that drifted sharply suggest the market isn't convinced.
Carries the joint-lowest weight in the field, which is an advantage in a race like this, and he arrives in decent recent form — a win at Exeter followed by two placed efforts. The bigger picture is harder to ignore though: one win from 27 races across a nine-year career is a very thin record, and he's never won on ground like today's. Frequent runner, rare winner.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (184 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field who has won over this exact course and distance — in fact he's won here twice from seven visits — which is a genuinely rare edge in a field of 12. The catch is that he's 13 years old and hasn't raced in 184 days, the longest absence of anyone in this race. Course form is a real asset; freshness is a real question.
Only course winner (2 from 7 here)Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (35 runs, field avg 16)Absent 184 days (longest in field)
Making his racecourse debut today — there is literally no form to assess, no previous race to point to, nothing. At six years old he's having his first run later than most, and stepping straight into a competitive 12-horse hurdle race over nearly three miles is a tough introduction. A complete unknown, and the odds reflect that.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (78 days off)Won 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive runs where this horse was pulled up before finishing — that's a serious red flag regardless of what the official rating says. At 100-1 in the market, punters have clearly written him off, and it's hard to argue against that verdict until he shows he can complete a race again. A new jockey pairing today adds another unknown.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.