The horse the editorial tips as the biggest danger to the favourite, and the form backs that up — a second place just seven days ago shows it is in good shape right now. Back-to-back runs within a week is a bold move, but the trainer clearly thinks it is worth it. Like Too Many Spirits, it has never raced on today's soft, wet ground, so that remains the key unknown for both market leaders.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)Runs again after just 7 days
The market favourite and the editorial pick, and it is easy to see why — last time out it finished second here at Pontefract, beaten by just a tenth of a length, making it the only runner in the field with course form to point to. Today's step up to 6 furlongs is expected to help, and draw 5 is right in the zone where horses win most often at this track. The one question mark is today's wet, soft ground, which it has never encountered before.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)Market favourite (3.8)
Finished fifth in its only race — which took place just yesterday — so this horse is racing on back-to-back days, which is a lot to ask of any two-year-old. The best low draw in the field is a real plus at this course and distance, where horses drawn 1-5 win far more often than the rest. That draw might be the most interesting thing about Green Sovereign right now.
Making its first-ever racecourse appearance today, so there is simply nothing to go on in terms of form. Draw 4 is in the sweet spot at this course and distance, where low draws give horses a meaningful edge. Everything else is a blank page.
One race in, one third-place finish — not a bad start for a young horse finding its feet. The worry is that today's slightly soft, wet ground is something it has never faced before, so how it handles the conditions is a genuine unknown. Drawn in the middle of the field where the stats here are less favourable than low draws, it has plenty to prove.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (1 career races)
Fourth and ninth from two races so far — the form is pointing in the wrong direction. Drawn in stall 9 where the stats at this course and distance are notably weak compared to the low-drawn horses. Hard to make a strong case here.
No form to go on, as this is a first racecourse appearance, and stall 8 is not a great starting position at Pontefract over 6 furlongs where low draws dominate. By Calyx, who produces speedy, early-maturing youngsters, so the breeding at least suits today's sprint trip. One to watch rather than back with confidence.
First race, no form, and a draw in stall 7 where the win stats at this course are noticeably weaker than for the low-drawn horses. By Oasis Dream, a stallion famous for producing quick, sharp two-year-olds, so the breeding is at least relevant for a 6-furlong sprint. Tim Easterby and Sean Kirrane have a solid record together, winning roughly 1 in 10 races — useful experience in the saddle.
Another first-time runner with no form to assess, but Mr Minz has a solid draw in stall 2 — one of the best positions at this course and distance. The trainer and jockey have won just 1 race from 28 together, which is a modest record to bring into a race like this. Arrive curious, but keep expectations in check.
Debut runner drawn in stall 10, the widest position in the field and one of the least favourable spots at this course over 6 furlongs. The jockey and trainer have won just 2 from 58 races together, which is a thin record. Needs everything to go right from the worst draw in the race.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.