Pontefract
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Thank You Alexia And Good Luck Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
35min
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Back-to-back wins and three straight top-three finishes make this the horse in form — no one else in this field comes close to that recent run. The slight concern is that both wins came on faster ground, and today's slightly soft surface is a question mark the editorial verdict flags directly. Drawn 2, which puts it right in the sweet spot for Pontefract's low-draw bias, and its win rate of roughly 1 in 5 or 6 is the best in the field.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 5 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market made this horse favourite but the odds have drifted sharply, suggesting confidence has cooled. Six races and zero wins tells its own story — it has been placed four times, always competitive, never quite able to finish the job. Sits 9lbs above the field average in the ratings, so the handicapper already thinks highly of it, which makes that winless record harder to ignore.
Market favourite (2.48)
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TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field — off the track for 211 days — immediately raises questions about fitness and readiness. The encouraging note is that its only win came here at Pontefract, so it has at least shown it can handle this course. That Pontefract win was followed by a 51-length defeat at Nottingham, so the form before the break was inconsistent at best.
Absent 211 days (longest in field)
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TrackLab Insight
Like Trojan Soldier, this horse ran at Ripon just five days ago — a third-place finish — so at least it arrives in reasonable nick. Four wins from 31 races works out at roughly 1 in 8, and the last victory was 19 months ago, so there is a wait involved. It has placed well over distances like today's before, but the winless run is now six races long.
Runs again after just 5 days
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TrackLab Insight
An eight-year-old drawn in stall 1, which is a real positive at Pontefract over this distance — low draws win 20% of races here compared to virtually nothing from higher up. The problem is form: finished 10th at Chester just 14 days ago, beaten over 8 lengths, and all three of its runs on soft or similar ground have ended without a win. The draw is its best argument today.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"He's very talented and an absolute rogue. He runs the most extraordinary races. At Southwell last week he was probably 30 lengths behind the last horse. He decided to lock on and ended up finishing third having run the most inefficient and energy-consuming race of all time. He'll drop right at some stage and I've just got to unlock his brain. If we can do that there's a good race in him off 84. 'd like to keep him on next year as we might just have a reset over the winter. I could see him charging through the handicap because he's got a lot of talent. 11-09-24"
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TrackLab Insight
On paper, slightly soft ground should suit this seven-year-old — it has the best record on this type of surface in the field, winning 1 from 5 on similar conditions. But recent form is alarming: beaten over 15 lengths last time out and pulled up before that, which suggests something may not be right. At 29/1 the market has made its verdict clear.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
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TrackLab Insight
Lowest rated in the field by 8lbs below the average, which in a handicap means it carries the least weight — a small advantage on paper. The bigger problem is a record of zero wins from 13 races on soft or similar ground, which is exactly what it faces today. Thirty races into its career, this horse has yet to show it can win when the ground gets wet.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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