Kaiya Fraser

The most interesting thread running through her recent numbers, though, is what happened to her win rate. Last year she was winning 15 in every 100 rides; this season that figure has dropped to 10. On one reading that looks like a step back, but there's another way to see it: 455 rides in a single year is a serious workload, and riding that volume means taking on a wider range of horses, not just the ones you fancy most. The sheer number of opportunities suggests stables are trusting her with their books.

Her closest working relationship is with trainer Rebecca Menzies, and it's a partnership that makes sense on paper — 10 wins from 97 rides together, again around 1 in 10. Nearly 100 shared rides in a season points to genuine mutual confidence, and when a trainer keeps putting you up race after race, that says more than any statistic.

Where Fraser really stands out is in the conditions most jockeys would rather avoid. On wet, muddy ground she has won 3 races from just 14, a win rate of 21% — more than double her overall average. Riding on heavy ground is a skill in itself; it demands patience, balance, and a feel for how a tired horse moves when the going gets testing. That she thrives in those conditions at this stage of her career is a genuine marker of quality. She is also quietly making Pontefract her own, with 3 winners from 11 rides at a track that suits jockeys who understand its sharp, undulating layout.

At 133 career winners and still only four years in, Fraser is very much a work in progress — but a promising one. The slight dip in win rate this season is worth watching, though the sheer volume of rides she is attracting suggests the sport's trainers aren't worried. They keep calling.