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Tribal Star

There is something quietly admirable about a horse that just keeps showing up. Tribal Star, a five-year-old trained by Adrian McGuinness out of Lusk in County Dublin, has finished in the top three in 13 of its 19 races — that is a remarkable level of consistency — but has only converted two of those appearances into wins, giving it a win rate of roughly 1 in every 9 races. It is the kind of horse that tests a punter's patience while quietly earning respect.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
Sahrawi
Owner
Dooley Tbreds/J Fairhurst/Kabin Synd
Rating
86

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
19
Career races
2
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
68.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Those two wins have both come at the same track: Dundalk. That is not a coincidence. From eight races at the venue, Tribal Star has won twice, making it easily the most productive course in its career. Dundalk is an all-weather track, meaning it runs year-round regardless of the weather, and some horses simply take to the surface in a way that is hard to explain but impossible to ignore. For Tribal Star, Dundalk is home. Its most recent win came there on 15 August 2025, and it raced again just yesterday, keeping the campaign ticking over at an impressive clip.

The partnership with jockey Adam Caffrey is worth noting. Together they have won 2 from 9 races — roughly 1 in every 4 — which is well above the horse's overall win rate and suggests the two have developed a real understanding. That kind of familiarity matters more than it might sound: a jockey who knows a horse's quirks can make small decisions in a race that add up to big differences at the line.

Tribal Star performs best when there is a bit of distance to get into — its strongest results come over one mile six furlongs to two miles, winning 1 from 5 races at those trips. It also shows a clear preference for normal ground conditions, winning 2 from 11 races on a standard surface. Step it up to the biggest occasions — Class 2, among the top races in Britain and Ireland — and it has yet to break through in three attempts. That gap between consistent placing and outright winning at the top level is the challenge that defines where Tribal Star sits right now.

McGuinness has had a productive season, sending out 39 winners from his yard, so the team around this horse clearly knows what it is doing. The question is whether Tribal Star can find another opportunity at Dundalk, on normal ground, over a staying trip — because that combination is where it becomes genuinely dangerous.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 11 starts (18%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 May
3rd
Chester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
27 Feb
DNF
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 15 runners
6 Feb
3rd
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 7 runners
16 Jan
3rd
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 6 runners
28 Sep
23th
The Curragh
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 33 runners
13 Sep
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
15 Aug
🏆 Won
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 15 runners
15 Jul
7th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
28 Jun
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 20 runners
4 Jun
9th
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
8 2 wins, 2 seconds, 3 thirds, 1 other 27 Feb 25%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 28 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
2 2 thirds 8 May 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Jul 0%
chelmsford 1 1 second 11 Nov 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 25 Oct 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 13 Mar 0%