Newmarket
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Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares)
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.5 and the editorial pick, and the case is easy to understand: she has finished in the top three in all four career races, winning two of them including a top-level win at this exact course last May. She is returning from five months off, but trainer Owen Burrows has had two winners from just four runners in the past fortnight — he clearly sends them out ready.
Market favourite (5.5)
TrackLab Insight
One of only three horses in the field who have never raced on dry ground, so conditions today are uncharted territory for her. She is very lightly raced with just three career outings and holds the second-highest official rating in the field, but Ryan Moore — who wins roughly 1 in 3 of his rides at the moment — takes the reins, which always commands attention.
Never raced on dry ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Jockey in best form (6 from 18 last 2wk)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"We decided to experiment with her trip a little bit and ran her in the Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes last week over a mile. After getting so far back in the run, she finished really quickly, and I think we'll see a different horse on Guineas weekend, when she'll go for the Dahlia Stakes. She's shown plenty of pace. She was bought to win a Group 1 and our plan is to work through the grades. The New York Stakes at Saratoga in June stands out in the foreign calendar, while there's a brilliant British programme in the second half of the year. 02-04-26"
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 5.6 and the highest-rated horse in the field on official ratings — nine pounds clear of the average — so the bookmakers clearly respect her ability even if her win record of one from seven doesn't shout confidence. She was third at Kempton 36 days ago but has not won in 19 months, and that sole victory came well below this level.
2nd in the market (5.6)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"I took her out of the 1,000 Guineas last week as she needs a bit more time. She's a talented filly and we need to look after her. There are plenty of options further down the line over seven furlongs and a mile. She's a breeze-up graduate but she's easy to deal with. 28-04-25"
TrackLab Insight
Trained by John and Thady Gosden, who are in outstanding form right now — winning 8 from 24 in the past two weeks, the best in this field — and ridden by William Buick, a combination that has delivered 31 winners together. She won at the highest level at York last July and the editorial team name her as second pick, making her the most interesting rival to the favourite.
Trainer in best form (8 from 24 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
Has been off the track for over seven months, which is the most significant hurdle she faces today — horses returning from long breaks need everything to go right. She showed real ability when third at Ascot at the highest level, but with only five career races to her name she remains relatively unknown, and first-time-out returns from a layoff are always a gamble.
Relatively inexperienced (5 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"It was slightly frustrating last year after she ran so well in the Guineas. The Middleton is a possibility but the spring has not been particularly kind to her and she might take a little longer to come to hand. She looks like she'll get a mile and a quarter and there are plenty of options. 27-04-26"
TrackLab Insight
She was beaten just a third of a length at this course five months ago, which shows she belongs at this level — but her record on normal dry conditions reads zero wins from three attempts, which is a genuine concern on today's fast ground. At 25.0 she is one of the bigger outsiders, and a returning runner with a ground question mark is a tough combination to get behind.
Outsider at 25.0
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 2 races she enters — and she arrives on the back of two consecutive wins. The enormous caveat is that every single one of those wins has come on artificial surfaces at Newcastle, and she has never raced on dry turf before; this is a significant step into the unknown.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on dry ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
TrackLab Insight
She has never raced on dry ground and this would be new territory — all her form has been built on different surfaces, which makes her hard to assess for today. The jockey-trainer partnership is a first-time combination, and she has drifted heavily in the market from 17.5 to 30.0, suggesting little confidence from those closest to her.
Never raced on dry ground
TrackLab Insight
The most important fact here is simple: she has already won at this course and distance, making her one of very few course winners in the field. That Newmarket victory came at the highest level last September, and she has won roughly one in every three races across her career. She is returning from seven months off, but course form is a powerful asset.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
By far the most experienced horse in the field with 22 races under her belt — the average here is just 9 — and she arrives in decent nick after finishing second at Newmarket just 19 days ago. The big concern is that she has tried six times at this course without winning, and yesterday's fourth at Goodwood suggests she is just short of the required level.
Most experienced (22 runs, field avg 9)
TrackLab Insight
Won at the highest level at Ascot last summer and has finished in the top three in 11 of her 17 races — a model of consistency — but her last run was a heavy defeat at this very track and she has been off the course for six months since. The cheekpieces are new headgear, which sometimes signals a fresh approach, but she has drifted notably in the market from 19.0 to 29.0.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
She has never raced on dry ground, which is the key question hanging over her today — all her best efforts have come on different surfaces. Her last two runs were well beaten, and at odds of 36.0 she is easy to leave out.
Never raced on dry ground
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