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Baileys Khelstar

There is a puzzle at the heart of Baileys Khelstar's record that any racing fan would find hard to ignore. This six-year-old has won 3 races and placed in 9 more from 15 outings — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5 — which tells you this is a horse that consistently gets itself into the action. The problem is that its three wins have all come at Class 4 level or above, while in its five attempts at the lower Class 5 level, it has never once got its head in front. In other words, it seems to perform better when the quality around it goes up, not down — a counterintuitive quirk that makes it genuinely interesting to follow.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Cloth Of Stars
Mother
Khelwa
Owner
Baileys Horse Feeds (F H Nash Ltd)
Rating
78

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
15
Career races
3
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
60%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The career highlight is a win at Ascot in May 2024, and that matters more than it might sound. Ascot is one of Britain's most prestigious venues, and getting a winner there puts Baileys Khelstar in a different category from the average horse at this level. That win was now 24 months ago, and it remains the most recent victory on the record, so the question hanging over the horse right now is whether it can rediscover that kind of form.

Recent runs have been mixed. Reading the last six results from most recent backwards — 4th, 2nd, 11th, 7th, 2nd, 1st — you can see a horse that finished on a high with a win, then went through a rough patch, but has since bounced back into the frame with two runner-up finishes. The 11th-place effort looks like the obvious blip, sandwiched between better efforts on either side.

Joe Fanning is the man most often in the saddle, and the numbers here are genuinely striking — 2 wins from 7 races together is a win rate of 29%, which means they win close to 1 in every 3 races as a partnership. That is well above the horse's overall average and suggests Fanning brings something out of this horse that others haven't quite managed.

The trainer is Charlie Johnston, operating out of Middleham Moor in North Yorkshire — one of the most productive yards in the country right now, having sent out 128 winners already this season. Baileys Khelstar raced just one day ago, so it is clearly in an active spell, and with Fanning in the plate and Johnston in the corner, the ingredients are there for another day in the sun.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
3 May
4th
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners
17 Apr
2nd
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 6 runners
4 Apr
11th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
25 Jul
7th
Great Yarmouth
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
22 Jun
2nd
Ayr
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
10 May
🏆 Won
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
28 Apr
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
8 Aug
2nd
Ripon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 6 runners
1 Aug
2nd
Great Yarmouth
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
22 Jul
3rd
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 25 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 win 10 May 100%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 win 7 Jul 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Apr 100%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Dec 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 22 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 3 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Jun 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 second 8 Aug 0%