Doncaster
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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div I)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
The clear form pick here — she has won two races in a row and is the top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs. The concern is her draw: she sits in stall 12, and at Doncaster over 7 furlongs, horses drawn high rarely win — the low draws hold a massive advantage. She has also never won on normal ground in 12 attempts, which is worth noting given that is exactly what she faces today.
Top rated by 3lbs
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (2.82)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 5 races — and crucially, the only horse here with a strong record on normal ground, winning 2 of his 3 races in those conditions. The big question mark is a 154-day absence, the longest layoff of any runner today, and his last run before the break was a distant seventh.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
Absent 154 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Six years old and yet to win a race in 13 attempts, with recent form showing back-to-back sevenths. She carries the lowest weight in the field, which can be an advantage in a big field like this, but the data does not suggest she has the ability to take advantage of it.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Nineteen races and still waiting for a first win — that is the whole story with Bullington Bry, and it is a difficult one to ignore. He does at least have a draw in stall 14 that gives him a slight positional advantage over several rivals, but a jockey-trainer partnership without a win from five attempts together does not add confidence.
Winless from 19 career races
TrackLab Insight
The 7-furlong trip is one of Fifty Sent's better distances, and he has a solid record at that range, winning roughly 1 in 5 over it. The problem is today's normal ground — he has zero wins from 10 races on similar conditions, and all five of his career wins have come on softer or slower surfaces.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Dion Baker's record on normal ground is a stark zero wins from 18 attempts, and today's conditions at Doncaster are just that. He has run 61 times in his career and has never won on a right-handed galloping track either, which is another obstacle given the layout here.
Among the more experienced (61 career races)
TrackLab Insight
A notable unknown here: Heretic has never once raced on normal ground in his 27-race career, having run exclusively on softer or artificial surfaces. He is also running with a new jockey for the first time today, which removes any existing partnership rhythm. Recent form is poor, with two heavy defeats in his last two outings.
Never raced on normal ground
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old with 48 races behind him who wins roughly 1 in every 16, and has zero wins from 12 races on normal ground — which is exactly what today presents. His record at left-handed galloping tracks like Doncaster is also a blank, with no wins from 21 attempts on that track type.
Among the more experienced (48 career races)
TrackLab Insight
A big outsider at 26-1 who only found his first win after 14 attempts, and has looked out of form since — ninth on his most recent outing at Thirsk. He has a poor record on normal ground, which is what he faces today, and this looks a tough ask.
Outsider at 26.0
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in this 18-runner field with 64 career races, but experience does not always translate to success — and Trais Fluors has never won on normal ground in 13 attempts. A 12-year-old drawn high in stall 16 at a track that heavily favours low draws, his chances look slim.
Most experienced (64 runs, field avg 31)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is that Rocket Rod has won over this course and distance at Doncaster, making him one of the few in this field who actually knows how to get round here. At nine years old, though, he has finished tenth in two of his last three races and has never won on normal ground in 12 attempts, so that course form may be ancient history.
Has won over this course and distance
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of horses in this field who can point to a win at today's course, which is worth something in an 18-runner field. His record on normal ground is poor — just two wins from 35 races on similar conditions — but he finished third last time out and is at least showing some signs of life.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
One win from 43 career races is a brutal record, and Starshot has never won on normal ground in 18 attempts. The draw in stall 18 is the worst in the field at a track where high draws are at a significant disadvantage over this distance — a tough combination.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a 149-day absence with three consecutive double-figure defeats before his break, Thanks Dad arrives here without much encouragement from recent form. His preferred distance appears to be shorter than today's 7 furlongs, where his record is limited, and normal ground is untested territory for a winning return.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just six career races, and has yet to finish in the top three in any of them. Returning from a 112-day break and priced at 51-1, the data gives very little reason for optimism here.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by some margin — 4lbs below the field average — and has never raced on normal ground, so today is a step into the unknown on multiple fronts. Five races, no wins, and no places make this the most lightly exposed runner here, and not in a good way.
Lowest rated, 4lbs below average
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Al Baahy has run 48 times and won just three, and his recent form of three consecutive defeats makes it hard to make a case. He does hold the best draw in the field — stall 1 — which at Doncaster over 7 furlongs is a genuine advantage, but his preferred distance appears to be much longer than today's 7 furlongs.
Among the more experienced (48 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Nineteen races and no wins puts Ziva's Star alongside Bullington Bry as one of two winless horses in this field with that level of experience — and neither has been able to break the duck. She raced at this same course just 22 days ago and finished seventh, giving us a very recent and relevant benchmark that does not inspire confidence.
Winless from 19 career races
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