Ayr
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Schweppes Cherry Pepper Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the horse the race editorial singles out as the most intriguing runner — Pearl Eye ran here just 15 days ago and finished a close third, beaten less than a length. Trainer Jim Goldie clearly has the horse in good nick, and returning quickly to the same track where it nearly won is a classic handler's move. The question mark is a poor record on normal ground (one win from 12 attempts), but the eye-catching recent run here makes that easier to overlook.
Market favourite (3.25)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Rated 8lbs above the field average, Footwork is the highest-rated horse in this race and has won on this dry ground before. However, a 10th-place finish at Newmarket just 18 days ago is hard to ignore, and the odds have drifted sharply — suggesting punters aren't convinced the class advantage will tell. Best treated with caution despite the strong rating.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
Three finishes in the top two from his last three races, including a win at Bath just over three weeks ago — this is the most in-form horse in the field right now. Drawn in stall 11, which is in the lower-performing high-draw zone at this course, but his momentum is hard to dismiss. The risk worth watching is that his record on normal ground (as opposed to fast, dry ground) reads zero wins from seven attempts.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He's very decent and I'm happy with him. He showed promise in all his three runs last year, even though he didn't win, and he'll get a mile and probably a mile and a quarter. There will be some good races for him. 23-04-24"
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 3, and crucially, two of those three wins have come right here at Ayr — this is a horse that clearly loves the track. The enormous concern is that it hasn't raced for nearly a year, which is the longest absence of any runner today. Horses returning after that long are unpredictable, even when the course form is this compelling.
Absent 354 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
Four wins from 21 races is a decent enough record, but the last six runs are all finishes of 5th or worse, including an 11th just 19 days ago. Her best form has come at Newcastle and over longer distances than today's 1m1f, so neither the track nor the trip looks ideal. Hard to find a strong angle here based on the available data.
Mid-range in the market (15.0)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, carrying the lightest weight, and racing again just two days after finishing 7th at Wolverhampton — that quick turnaround is the most eye-catching fact about this runner. He was second here at Ayr just 15 days ago, so clearly bounces back quickly, but zero wins on dry ground from four attempts is a concern on today's fast surface. Drawn in stall 12, the worst draw at this course, adds another layer of difficulty.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
With just one win from 16 races, Northwest Passage is the least prolific winner in the field. The last three finishes of 10th, 5th, and 7th don't inspire confidence, and the data shows zero wins on normal or wet ground across multiple attempts. Hard to make a case for this one in a competitive 12-runner field.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Seven career wins is one of the highest tallies in this field, and his record at this exact distance — 1m1f to 1m2f — is an impressive 44% win rate. The problem is recent form: three consecutive runs of 5th, 8th, and 11th suggest he is well below his best right now. A horse capable of this level, but not showing it at the moment.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in the field — four wins at Ayr from 18 visits — and his last three completed runs here all ended in victory. The big worry is that all his best form comes on soft or wet ground, and he has never won on the fast, dry conditions on offer today across five attempts. If the ground suits him less than usual, his course record may flatter.
One of few course winners (4 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just seven races, and the only runner yet to win at any point in its career. Two of the last three runs have been 7th-place finishes beaten well over 13 lengths, which doesn't suggest a horse about to break through. Lowest-odds newcomers to winning often need better conditions than these to find their moment.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
TrackLab Insight
This horse has never raced on dry ground — every one of its four career races has come on different conditions — so today is genuinely unknown territory. Add in seven months off the track and a jockey who has never partnered the horse before, and there are too many question marks for a clear assessment. The rating is reasonable, but the data is thin and honest punters should treat this as a speculative entry.
Never raced on dry ground
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old, Ayr Poet is by far the most experienced horse in the field — 54 races compared to a field average of 23 — and has five wins at this very track. However, the last run was a 12th-place finish, and crucially the data shows zero wins from six attempts on the dry ground conditions on offer today. Age and ground are both working against him here.
Best record at this trip (1 from 6)
Most experienced (54 runs, field avg 23)
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