The market favourite at 4.5, and there's obvious logic to that — he won his last race at Tramore and also won two races back at Punchestown, showing he can back up good performances. At just six, he's the youngest horse in the field and is still learning his trade over fences. His rating is actually 4lbs below the field average, meaning he's been handed a lighter weight, which is a practical advantage in a race like this.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (201 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field — winning 1 in every 4 races — and she won last time she completed a race. The big worry is that she hasn't raced in 201 days, the longest absence of any runner here, and her last outing ended in a fall. Plenty of talent, but plenty of unknowns after such a long time off.
Absent 201 days (longest in field)Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
A. O'Sullivan(7)
·
E. Mullins
· 7yo
· 11st 8lb
· OR 111
HeadgearForm
12
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
One of the shorter-priced runners in the race and he ran a solid second just 27 days ago, beaten only four lengths at Kilbeggan. The concern is that he has never won on a left-handed track — Limerick runs left-handed — going zero from seven in those situations. A young, improving horse with recent form on his side, but that quirk is worth noting.
Among the fancied runners (6.5)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2024
"He's back and we might give him an entry for this weekend. He's one to look forward to in staying novice hurdles. He was good when winning his bumper at Navan and had a disappointing run at Punchestown in Grade 1 company, but we can allow him one bad run and hopefully he can put that behind him. 25-11-24"
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a win at today's trip of three miles, which gives her a genuine edge on paper. However, she was beaten 33 lengths last time out and has never won on wet or muddy ground — and with rain forecast, that's a real concern. Her odds drifting sharply from the morning price suggests the market agrees.
The editorial verdict singles this horse out, and with six career wins he is one of the more successful horses in this field. He raced here at Limerick just 60 days ago and has actually won 2 from 5 on soft ground, so the likely wet conditions shouldn't be a problem. His recent form is patchy — a pull-up and two modest finishes — but the step back to a track he knows could help.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Ran a cracking race last time out, beaten just a third of a length at Tramore — easily the closest finish of any runner here recently. He's only won once from 20 races overall, but that near-miss suggests he's in decent form right now. Crucially, he has never raced on the slightly soft ground we're expecting today, so how he handles it is genuinely unknown.
Fresh (80 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in contention with solid claims on this ground, having won twice from 11 races on similar conditions. But flip to softer, wetter ground and his record falls apart — zero wins from six races on soft ground and zero from four on even muddier going. If the forecast rain arrives, he becomes a much harder sell.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses here with 31 career races, but only 2 wins to show for it and he was beaten over 60 lengths last time out at Killarney just 12 days ago. He has never won on normal or dry ground, and his record on right-handed tracks is zero wins from nine races. There is very little in the data to suggest a turnaround is coming.
Twenty-eight races and still searching for a first win — the only horse in this field without a victory to its name. To his credit, he ran second at Down Royal just five weeks ago and has placed five times in total, so he's not completely out of things. But at 17/1 with no wins on the board and an apprentice jockey claiming 7lbs, it's hard to make a case for him ahead of today.
The only course winner in the field, having won here at Limerick from two visits — a fact that stands out in a 12-runner field. Her recent form has been poor, finishing fifth in her last two races well beaten, but she handles wet and muddy ground well and the forecast rain could play to her strengths. Cheekpieces are fitted again today.
This horse has pulled up in each of its last two races, which is hard to look past regardless of what came before. At 19/1 the market has clearly lost faith, and his record on soft ground — zero wins from four attempts — doesn't help his cause today. Cheekpieces are fitted for the first time, which occasionally sparks a turnaround, but the evidence here is thin.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Rated 11lbs below the field average and carrying the lowest weight in the race — in theory, that's an advantage in a handicap, but his last three runs have seen him finish 9th, 12th and 12th. At 67/1, the market has essentially written him off, and his current form does nothing to argue against that verdict. The lightest weight in the field is of little use if the horse isn't running anywhere near its best.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.