The race favourite and the editorial pick, Some Song is the most lightly raced horse in the field with just three career runs — unusually fresh for a 6-year-old. Its one win came at Down Royal, and it has the highest win rate of the main fancies at roughly 1 in 3, though two of its three runs ended without a recorded finishing position including a pull-up. The market and the expert verdict both point here, but there's plenty still unknown about this horse.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Market favourite (3.75)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (354 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The biggest question mark in the field: this horse hasn't raced in nearly a year, and its last outing ended with the jockey pulling up. Before that absence it showed promise — winning at Downpatrick and placing in two others — but a full year off the track is a significant hurdle, especially on ground it has never encountered before. Punters have drifted away from it heavily, and on paper that caution looks justified.
Never raced on slightly soft groundAbsent 354 days (longest in field)
The only horse in the field to have won at Limerick, which stands out as a genuine plus — course form matters, and none of its rivals can say the same. It is also by far the most experienced runner here with 34 races, more than four times the field average, and runs again just six days after finishing 6th at Kilbeggan. The concern is ground: it has never won on soft or wet conditions, and today's slightly soft surface plays against its best form.
Only course winner (1 from 4 here)Most experienced (34 runs, field avg 8)Runs again after just 6 daysUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
On paper, this horse carries the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in 4 races across nine outings. In practice, the last four runs have produced finishes of 7th, 14th, 7th, and 8th, which tells a very different story from those headline numbers. Despite the blinkers fitted to sharpen focus, the form line has gone badly flat and the market at 15.0 reflects that honestly.
Trained by Gordon Elliott, this 6-year-old finally got off the mark at Tramore earlier this year but has since finished 4th and 5th, including a 16-length beating at Wexford just two weeks ago. The odds tell an interesting story — sent off at 7.0 having drifted sharply, suggesting those closest to the race aren't convinced a repeat is coming anytime soon. Wears cheekpieces, which can help focus a horse, but the recent form doesn't make a strong case.
Mid-range in the market (7.0)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"I liked the look of him when he finished second in his point for Donnchadh Doyle at Stowlin. He looked like he might win that day for a long way and from what we've seen from him he seems nice. He'll be ready to run in a bumper over the next month. 28-10-24"
Four races, zero wins, zero places — this is the most winless record in the field and the raw numbers offer little encouragement. Most recently unseated its rider at Leopardstown 79 days ago, which adds another layer of doubt heading into a chase for the first time. Has never raced on slightly soft ground and hasn't given supporters a single moment to celebrate so far.
Second in the market at 5.6, so the bookmakers rate this Henry De Bromhead-trained 6-year-old as one of the main dangers — yet it has still to win a race in four attempts. It has finished 2nd and 3rd along the way, so the ability is real, but its last run was a 10-length 5th at Clonmel. The market confidence is notable for a horse still searching for its first win.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (208 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the leading group with 10 races, and crucially the one with the best record at today's distance of 2m 6f — winning once from three attempts at this trip, which no rival can match. However, it was beaten 44 lengths at Cheltenham last time out and is returning after nearly seven months off, so it arrives here short on recent race practice. If the ground suits — it has won on similar conditions before — it's a genuine player at 8.5.
Fresh (121 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Previously raced at today's course, finishing 5th at Limerick 145 days ago, so it has at least been here before. Zero wins from four career races, though a runner-up finish shows it can get competitive — it just hasn't been able to win when the moment arrived. Has never raced on slightly soft ground, which adds uncertainty, and the recent form of 5th and 4th doesn't suggest it's about to turn the corner.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.