The horse only got off the mark for the first time at Thurles in late November 2024, which suggests it took a while to find its feet. But once it clicked, it added wins at Ballinrobe and elsewhere, showing it could perform at different venues. The most recent win came at Ballinrobe on 11 August 2025, and the six races since then have not produced another success — finishes of 4th, 3rd, a non-completion, and three sixth-or-worse results paint a picture of a horse that is finding things tougher right now.
The ground matters here. Ad Caelum has won 3 of its 14 races on normal conditions, a win rate of 21% — that is closer to 1 in 5, which is genuinely good. Strip away those ideal conditions and the record thins out considerably. When the ground suits, this horse is a different proposition.
Sean O'Keeffe is the regular jockey, and the combination works reasonably well — 2 wins from their 10 races together, which is a 20% win rate, or 1 in every 5 rides. That is a meaningful partnership, and when trainer, jockey, and the right ground align, Ad Caelum has shown it can get the job done. The horse raced just yesterday, so the yard are clearly keeping it busy and looking for the next opportunity. Whether a seventh win is imminent probably depends on conditions falling right.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clonmel Sharp |
6 | 1 second, 1 third, 4 other | 14 Apr | 0% |
| Limerick Galloping |
5 | 1 win, 1 third, 3 other | 21 May | 20% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
5 | 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 other | 15 May | 20% |
| Thurles Undulating |
5 | 1 win, 2 thirds, 2 other | 18 Jan | 20% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
4 | 1 win, 3 other | 12 Sep | 25% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
3 | 1 third, 2 other | 4 Apr | 0% |
| Cork Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 7 Dec | 0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 4 May | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 17 Jul | 0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 28 Sep | 0% |
| Leopardstown Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 2 Feb | 0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 1 Oct | 0% |