Limerick
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Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (Div II)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a win at today's distance of 2m 6f, and he proved he still belongs by winning at Killarney just 10 days ago. He carries the most weight and is the market favourite, though his odds have drifted significantly from where they opened. Worth noting he has never won on a right-handed galloping track in 12 attempts, and Limerick fits that profile.
Only winner at this distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Market favourite (4.0)
TrackLab Insight
One of the younger horses in the field at six, and he finished a close third at this exact course just 35 days ago — the most recent piece of form at Limerick among all the runners. Nine races in with no wins yet, but that near-miss here shows he can be competitive on this track. With less experience than most rivals, there may still be more improvement to come.
Relatively inexperienced (9 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The second highest-rated horse in the field, yet 16 races into his career he has never won — the most frustrating kind of racehorse. He arrived here in solid recent form, finishing second twice and third once across his last three outings, including a near-miss at this very course 70 days ago. That Limerick run is encouraging on paper, but he has tried five times here without ever winning.
2nd highest rated (OR 99)
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from 36 races — roughly 1 in every 18 — makes him one of the more experienced winners in the field, but today's slightly soft ground is a serious concern: he has never won on soft, yielding, or soft-to-yielding ground across his career. Both of his career wins came on faster, drier ground, which is the opposite of what he faces here. The jockey and trainer have not won together in nine attempts either.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict flags this horse as a genuine player, pointing to a strong run at Down Royal that ended in a fall late on — suggesting the performance was better than the result shows. He has never raced on today's slightly soft ground, which adds a small question mark, and his overall record of zero wins from 14 races means he needs everything to go right. If the fall hasn't knocked his confidence, he could be the most interesting each-way runner in the race.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner in the field with just 10 career races, and his only win came at Fairyhouse 140 days ago. His last run at Down Royal 39 days ago has no recorded finishing position in the data, so it is hard to read his current form with confidence. The trainer and jockey have not won together in five attempts, which is a small additional concern.
Relatively inexperienced (10 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Has raced three times at Limerick in recent months, which makes him one of the most course-familiar horses in this field. However, those runs have produced a pulled-up, a third, and a fourth — and his record shows zero wins from five races on soft ground, which is exactly what he faces today. His one career win came on heavy ground, which is even wetter than today's conditions.
Mid-range in the market (13.0)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the entire field by a distance — 42 races compared to the field average of 19 — yet she has never won, which is a remarkable record of near-misses. She has placed 11 times though, and a second-place finish at Sligo just nine days ago shows she is in decent current form. The sheer volume of racing without a win does raise the question of whether that first victory will ever come.
Most experienced (42 runs, field avg 19)
TrackLab Insight
Twelve races, zero wins, and just one placed finish across that entire career — this is the least successful horse in the field by any measure. He unseated his rider at Killarney just 10 days ago, adding to a recent record that also includes a fall and a distant sixth. There is very little in the data to suggest today will be different.
Winless from 12 career races
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which in a race like this gives her a small theoretical advantage, but nine races without a win and limited recent form data makes her hard to assess with confidence. A third-place finish at Clonmel 56 days ago is her most notable recent result, but a distant ninth at Tramore shortly after tempers that. There simply isn't enough evidence here to make a strong case.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Thirty-one races without a single win makes Malton Groove the most winless horse in this field — even among a race full of horses still hunting their first victory. His last three runs all ended without finishing — a pulled-up at Wexford, an unrecorded result in Britain, and another pulled-up at Down Royal. There is nothing in the recent data to suggest a turnaround is coming.
Winless from 31 career races
TrackLab Insight
The profile summary says 'placed in 2 of last 3 races' but the actual data tells a different story — finishes of 10th, 12th, and 9th in his last three outings, beaten by huge distances each time. At 11 years old, he is one of the oldest horses in the field, and his career record of zero wins and zero places from four races is the starkest in the race. Hard to make a case for him here.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Boasts the best win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 6 races — and has the strongest record on today's slightly soft ground of any runner here, winning 2 from 5 on similar conditions. The enormous catch is that he hasn't raced in 227 days, the longest absence in the field by far, and his last two outings before that break were heavy defeats. A fresh Stormy Master on this ground is intriguing; a ring-rusty one after seven months off is a risk.
Best record on this ground (2 from 5)
Absent 227 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
TrackLab Insight
At 13, he is the oldest horse in the field — three years older than the next oldest — and his single career win from 37 races works out to roughly 1 in every 37, the lowest win rate of any horse here who has actually won. He has a new jockey today in a first-time pairing, and his rating of 72 is 13 points below the field average, the joint lowest. Everything about his profile suggests he is up against it.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
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