Nastya
Nastya is a seven-year-old who has shown flashes of real ability without ever quite settling into consistent form. With three wins and six places from eleven races, the horse wins roughly one in every four times it races — a respectable win rate that masks a frustratingly uneven record. The pattern of recent runs tells the story: a win at Limerick in May, another victory before that, but long stretches in between where nothing comes off. It has won two of its last six races, which suggests there is still something there, but the gaps between the good days are the problem.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
54.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
That Limerick win three months ago was the most recent success, which means Nastya has been chasing another victory ever since. The horse was back in action just yesterday, so it remains sharp and actively campaigned. It broke through for its first career win at Down Royal in April 2025, which gives you a sense of its timeline — it has taken more than a year to accumulate just three victories from a modest number of opportunities.
Darragh O'Keeffe rides Nastya regularly but has won only one of five races together, a 20% win rate that is below the horse's overall level. That suggests either the partnership has not quite clicked, or Nastya simply runs better with different riders. The horse races for Henry De Bromhead's powerful Knockeen yard in Waterford, which has sent out 110 winners already this season — a sign that Nastya is in a well-run operation with plenty of ammunition around it. What Nastya needs now is a turn in the consistency dial. A horse capable of winning one in four races is not without merit, but it needs to string results together and prove it can sustain form over a stretch. Right now it remains a promise that has not quite become a pattern.
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Likes
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Likes
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
16 Aug
DNF
Tramore
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
22 Jul
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
21 May
🏆 Won
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
1 Nov
DNF
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 18 runners
5 Oct
🏆 Won
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 7 runners
25 Aug
2nd
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
16 May
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
13 Apr
🏆 Won
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
28 Jan
2nd
Limerick
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 12 runners
26 Dec
3rd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 15 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Down Royal Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 1 third, 1 other |
1 Nov |
33.3% |
| Limerick Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 second |
21 May |
50% |
| Tramore Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
16 Aug |
0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
5 Oct |
100% |
| Kilbeggan Tight |
1 |
1 other |
16 May |
0% |
| Ballinrobe Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
25 Aug |
0% |
| Wexford Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
22 Jul |
0% |