Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite with a 20% career win rate and a strong record at Thirsk, but that's not relevant here at Hamilton. The critical issue: she's never won on good-to-soft or soft ground in five plus three attempts respectively, making her ground profile a real concern despite being favourited.
Market favourite (5.8)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2024
"She's had a really good season, winning five times. It was frustrating to get beat last time when she got hampered in the Ayr Bronze Cup. She's a homebred and we purposely let her mature. I still think there's improvement in her but we've decided that was enough for the season. Hopefully she'll come back off a nice mark next year and we'll look to follow in the footsteps of American Affair. 02-10-24"
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
One of few course winners here with a Hamilton victory to his name, and he finished fourth here just 20 days ago. His good-to-soft record (33%) suits the conditions, and he wins roughly one in three at this sprint distance—but six races without a win since August 2025 is a concern.
Wearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Only course winner in the field with one Hamilton victory, and he holds an excellent record on standard ground (two wins from three). He ran fifth here just 20 days ago and is fit, but there's a proven weakness: zero wins from eight attempts on good-to-firm, suggesting he needs the softer conditions.
Top-rated at 91 but arriving cold after 69 days away, and there's a significant risk factor—he's never raced on slightly soft ground. His partnership with Oliver Stammers is strong (40% together), but recent form shows two placed finishes followed by two poor runs, suggesting inconsistency when it matters most.
Never raced on slightly soft groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"He's a nice horse. We got him beat on his debut by running him over 5f. The winner, who's gone in again, was from the breeze-ups and just caught him out. He won at Newcastle when he hit the front and pricked his ears - he's a very laid-back character. He looked like he wanted seven and he might, but I think a stiff six is going to be great for him. He shows more speed at home than he does at the track and I think there's a lot more to come. He has a sales race entry at the Curragh on September 14 and that's his target. He'd probably have 10lb to find there but I think he can be competitive. 04-09-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Tatterstall was placed in two of his last three races but flopped at Goodwood 24 days ago, and his record on soft or slower ground is thin. The low draw (7) is helpful, but there's no evidence he thrives on anything other than fast, firm surfaces—the opposite of what he'll face today.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2024
"He won a 5f handicap at Glorious Goodwood on the opening day. We only had two runners there and he won. He likes a quick 5f and has won at Wolverhampton, Catterick and Epsom as well as at Goodwood. He doesn't like it soft, so our hands are tied slightly about where we could go with him, but at the moment he'll run on Thursday at Southwell in the Racing League over 5f. 28-08-24"
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 7 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
At ten years old, this is the course specialist of specialists: seven wins from 13 at Hamilton (54%), a record that stands apart from every rival here. But the ground is a serious problem—he's won just once from 12 attempts on good-to-soft—and his 35% record on firm contradicts today's conditions.
With just one win from 19 races, Sir Yoshi is a consistent non-winner who hasn't found the winner's circle on anything but standard ground—and there's no guarantee he'll handle soft turf today. His high draw (13) limits his chances in a competitive five-furlong sprint.
Wearing visorQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Running just two days after finishing eighth at York shows clear fitness, and the editorial view backs her upward curve and five-pound gap versus top-rated horses. At 3-1, she's younger and fresher than most rivals, though a 12% career win rate and poor record on firm ground means recent form needs to improve.
Fresh (75 days off)Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout ground specialist: one win from three on good-to-soft surfaces, and he wins roughly half his sprints under five furlongs. Fresh after 75 days away and with the right profile for conditions, Sturlasson is a genuine threat at reasonable odds despite a modest overall record.
C. Whiteley(5)
·
I. Jardine
· 7yo
· 9st 3lb
· OR 79
C&DHeadgear
6.4
Won at this course & distanceWearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (29% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner in the field with 66 races and a proven 29% win rate on good-to-soft ground, fitting today's conditions perfectly. Recent form shows three consecutive top-three finishes, but he hasn't won in 46 days and carries the burden of never scoring at Newcastle—a similar track profile to Hamilton.
Most experienced (66 runs, field avg 28)3 straight top-3 finishes
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated here by 15 pounds and owns a strong overall win rate (22%), plus he's excellent on standard ground (39%). However, he's zero from six on good-to-soft surfaces, making today's conditions a real struggle—and his recent fourth and eighth place finishes suggest he's not in peak form.
Lowest rated, 14lbs below averageBest record at this trip (4 from 10)
Germanic is a massive class dropper here from his recent Goodwood defeat, but the real worry is ground: he's won twice on standard turf but has zero wins from six attempts when the surface isn't perfect. High draw (11) and slightly soft ground are both working against a horse that only prospers in very specific conditions.
Wearing hoodQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old carrying the lowest weight but running again just six days after finishing ninth at Doncaster, suggesting fatigue may be an issue. With only one win from ten races and zero wins on good-to-firm or soft ground, he lacks the form, experience, and ground profile needed to succeed here at odds of 300-1.
Carries lowest weight in fieldRuns again after just 6 days
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.