Hamilton
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Hemmings Homes 10th Anniversary Handicap Stakes
Starts in
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Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.4 on the back of a Hamilton win 10 days ago and the best five-furlong record in the field (2 from 8), but she's 0 for 6 on good ground and 0 from 3 on good-to-firm—ground concerns loom large. Today's slightly soft is the kind of surface where she could flourish, making this a credible favourite despite recent inconsistency.
Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
Market favourite (4.4)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Eight career wins across 61 races is solid experience, and he's 1 from 4 on good-to-soft ground, but he's struggled badly on soft ground (0 from 4) and actually runs here first-time with new jockey Jack Garritty. Recent form at Ayr and Hamilton shows he's competitive, but the ground concern and untested partnership are risks.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2021
"Has been working well and will run soon, 18-04-21"
TrackLab Insight
The only genuine course specialist here with 3 Hamilton wins from 16 starts, and he's 5 from 20 on soft ground plus 2 from 4 on heavy—but he's 0 for 13 on good-to-soft, which is precisely today's going. At 9 years old and still racing, his credentials look good in theory but the ground profile is a major red flag.
One of few course winners (3 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Three straight wins including two in the last month (Beverley and Ayr) gives genuine momentum, and he's 1 from 3 on good-to-soft ground—the best record among proven winners in this field. At 62 days off the track he'll need the race to suit, but the recent winning form is hard to ignore.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick has placed in 2 of his last 3 races, which is the marker of a horse starting to find form, but his two career wins came on good and soft ground respectively—today's slightly soft is untested territory. Drawing stall 2 helps on a course where low draws win 16% of the time, but at 13 days off and paired with a first-time jockey, the ingredients don't all align.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Second here just 10 days ago and boasts 2 Hamilton wins from his 64-race career, with an excellent record on soft ground (3 from 10). At 9 years old he's a campaigner who knows his way around the track, and the recent near-miss suggests he's right in the mix—though the slight dip in form (mostly mid-field finishes lately) raises questions.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on slightly soft ground in her career, so today is an unknown test despite four wins from 30 races and a strong recent sequence of near-misses (second twice in the last two weeks). Drawing stall 8 in mid-section is neutral, but the ground inexperience combined with untested jockey-trainer pairing means this is a shot in the dark.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Two course wins from 42 races is respectable locality form, and he's 1 from 5 on good-to-soft, but recent form tells a clear story of struggle—three runs in 13 days with finishes of 5th, 7th, and 8th at Ayr. At 7% career win rate and currently flat, he looks like the field's poorest betting value.
One of few course winners (2 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Runs again just four days after finishing 9th at Catterick, which is sharp turnaround work—but here's the catch: he's 0 for 6 on good-to-soft ground, exactly what he'll face today. He's a course specialist with 2 wins from 6 at Hamilton, but the recent form and ground concern make this a risky proposition despite market drift to 36/1.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
Runs again after just 4 days
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
At just three years old and winning 1 in 5 races, she has genuine talent on paper, and placed here 110 days ago, but last week's 9th at Ayr suggests she's still learning. The younger profile is interesting but unproven at this slightly soft ground after finishing third on the same track two months back.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 7 career races with no placed finishes, making her the least experienced and least successful runner in the field by a considerable margin. Drawing stall 6 offers a slight advantage on the low-draw course bias, but there's nothing in her profile to suggest she'll break her duck today.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse by far at 9lbs below average and carrying minimum weight (124lbs), but she's 43 days off and faces a ground type—slightly soft—where she's 0 from 13 in her entire career. A 7-year-old with 5 wins from 54 races and no recent placed finishes, she's the heaviest underdog in the race.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 1 in 5, but hasn't raced in 39 days and hasn't won since Ayr 63 days ago—the form is cold. With just five career races total, there's limited data here, and the long layoff makes it hard to fancy despite decent odds of 75/1.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
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