Wearing hoodFresh (196 days off)Jockey in form (4 wins in 14 days)Won 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the editorial pick, this three-year-old has placed in all three career races — a level of consistency unusual for such a lightly raced horse. She ran second over this course at Yarmouth before, so the track isn't new territory, and jockey Jack Mitchell arrives in the best form of any rider in the field with four winners in the last two weeks. The risk is a six-month absence and no experience of slightly soft ground, but the potential is clear.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (3 career races)Jockey in best form (4 from 12 last 2wk)Market favourite (3.8)
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Consistent without being spectacular — this horse has placed seven times from 11 races but has never raced on slightly soft ground, so today's conditions are an unknown. The jockey has gone nine races without a winner in the last two weeks, which won't inspire confidence. Blinkers go on for the first time, suggesting the trainer wants a more focused effort after a run of near-misses.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
On normal ground this horse is unbeaten — three races, three wins — but on anything other than a dry surface it has never scored, and today's slightly soft conditions could be exactly the wrong scenario. The trainer is in good form with three winners from 18 races in the last fortnight, and this is the first time jockey Zac Lloyd partners the horse. A new rider combination, tricky conditions, and two poor recent runs make this a hard horse to back with confidence.
Trainer in best form (3 from 18 last 2wk)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"It didn't quite work for him in Dubai this winter, so we brought him back earlier than planned and he was able to get his head back in front at Newcastle. He hated the ground in the Spring Mile, so you can put a line through that as he's still progressive. 02-04-26"
This horse hasn't raced in over 300 days — the longest absence of anyone in this field — and returning from nearly a year off is a major hurdle regardless of ability. Its one career win came on good ground at Haydock, and it has never raced on slightly soft conditions. The combination of a lengthy absence and untested ground makes this a significant risk, even though the horse does carry the lowest official rating advantage of lighter weight.
Never raced on slightly soft groundAbsent 307 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
May 2025
"He nearly won first time out at Lingfield in November when sent off at 125-1, but then we ran him back a bit quickly afterwards. He ran a nice race on his seasonal return at Kempton in April behind Ernst Blofeld and we're now just waiting for the ground really. I've got rather too many three-year-olds rated in the high 70s who are still maidens - they've all been second and are very difficult to place in the current system. Ever since a novice system for three-year-olds came in it's been very difficult to place those who are in the 75-80 range. Normally you'd have won a maiden by then and been competitive in a handicap, but now they're novices you're taking on basically Group horses. If you come second or third that puts you up too high in the handicap and you're in the middle of nowhere. 29-05-25"
Six races, zero wins — this horse has never got its head in front, and a dire 11th-place finish at Thirsk just 10 days ago doesn't help the case. To be fair, it placed second twice before that Thirsk run, but those were months ago and the gap in quality between those efforts and last time out is stark. The trainer has had two winners from 12 in the last fortnight but this horse has yet to reward that competence.
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field to have won over this exact course and distance — three wins from nine races at Yarmouth, and all of his career victories have come at this track. That is a rare and meaningful edge, but it comes with a catch: he is officially rated 8lbs below the field average, the biggest gap of any runner here, and recent form shows three straight eighth-place finishes. The course record is genuine, but he needs conditions closer to fast ground to show it — his record on soft or slow surfaces is poor.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldCourse specialist (3 wins from 9 here)Has won over this course and distance
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from three races on wet or muddy ground suggests this horse thrives when conditions get soft — but today will be the first time it encounters slightly soft ground at Yarmouth, so that theory is untested here. Recent form is poor, finishing well back in three straight races, and odds that drifted dramatically from near-even to 13/1 suggest confidence behind the scenes has evaporated. The cheekpieces are a trainer's attempt to sharpen focus, but the form says this horse needs more than headgear right now.
Fresh (201 days off)Trainer in formWon 3 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in every 3 races, and her record over this exact distance is strong — two wins from three attempts at a mile. The concern is that she hasn't raced in over 200 days and her last run, at Ascot, ended in a heavy defeat. Fresh horses can spring surprises but that Ascot performance is hard to ignore.
Never raced on slightly soft groundBest record at this trip (2 from 3)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 28 races compared to the field average of 13 — but that experience hasn't translated into wins, with just two victories in nearly three years of racing. Both of those wins came on fast, dry ground, and the data shows zero wins from 14 races on anything softer, which makes today's slightly soft surface a real problem. Named as the second choice in the editorial verdict, but the ground record alone is a significant concern.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (221 days off)Jockey in form (5 wins in 14 days)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
All four of this horse's career wins have come on fast or normal ground, and its record on soft conditions is a blank — zero wins from four attempts on wet surfaces. Today's slightly soft ground is therefore a real obstacle, and two heavy defeats in recent runs don't help. Drawn in stall 11, the highest draw in the field, and the data here shows high draws win just 6% of the time at this course and distance — the least favourable position on the track.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Making its racecourse debut, which means there is simply no form to assess — this horse is a complete unknown. Trained by the highly regarded French trainer Andre Fabre and bred by Camelot, a horse that won back-to-back Derby equivalents in England and Ireland, so the bloodline carries genuine class. First-time-out runners are always a gamble, and with a jockey yet to score in 11 rides over the last two weeks, this one requires a leap of faith.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.