Yarmouth

One of the least experienced horses in the field with only 3 races to her name, and she has never encountered today's slightly wet ground before. Her last run was a sixth at Kempton a month ago, stepping back from a promising second earlier in her career — so the form is going in the wrong direction. With a jockey who has yet to win from 11 rides in the past two weeks, there's not a lot here to get excited about.

The other editorial pick alongside Pennine Way, but the supporting evidence is thin — five races, no wins, no places, and a string of mid-to-back-field finishes. Today she steps up two class levels, which makes her task harder, not easier, and she has never handled ground this wet before. The addition of cheekpieces — blinkers worn on the sides of the face to sharpen focus — suggests her team are trying something new to unlock improvement.

A fourteenth-place finish last time out at Windsor — beaten over 21 lengths — is very hard to look past, especially in a field where most rivals have been finishing much closer. She did manage a third-place earlier in her career, so there's been a hint of ability, but the trajectory is heading the wrong way. Draw 1 is the best stall in the field at Yarmouth, which at least gives her a tactical advantage over almost everyone else.

Drawn widest of all in stall 15, which is a serious disadvantage at this track — horses drawn that high win less than half as often as those in the first five stalls. Her jockey Jack Mitchell is in the best form of anyone riding today, winning roughly 1 in 3 races over the past two weeks, but that's about the only thing in her favour. Two poor runs before this — beaten over 10 lengths at Windsor — don't inspire confidence either.

The only two-year-old in a field of three-year-olds, which is unusual — and she hasn't raced for 177 days, the longest absence of any runner here. That said, she showed genuine promise before her break, finishing third twice in a row at Wolverhampton. She has never raced on today's wet ground, a new jockey is on board for the first time, and the rust from a six-month layoff is the biggest question she needs to answer.

A 34.0 outsider, and the recent form gives little reason to shorten that price — seventh and tenth in her last two outings, beaten well over eight lengths each time. She does come here on the freshest preparation in the field, racing just eight days ago, so fitness isn't in doubt. But draw 11 puts her in a middle zone where the numbers at this track are against her.

Five races, no wins, no places, and a best finish of sixth — Bear Steps has yet to find any real competitive spark. Her jockey Cieren Fallon is the most in-form rider in this field, winning 5 from 22 in the past two weeks, which is the best reason to pay attention. Stall 13 is a tough draw here though, and the wet ground is another unknown for a horse still searching for her best.

The lowest-rated horse in the field, rated 9 pounds below the average, and her form reads 6-7-6 — consistently finishing toward the back without threatening. She raced at this same Yarmouth track 43 days ago and finished sixth, beaten over 16 lengths, so there's no course form to build on. Stall 12 puts her in the higher draw territory where winners here are rare.

Carries the lowest weight in the field, which in a race like this gives her a physical advantage over her rivals — less to carry means less effort. But her form of four consecutive finishes outside the top seven tells a difficult story, and she meets a first-time jockey combination today with no shared history. At 46.0, the market has made its mind up, but the weight allowance keeps her worth a mention.

The lowest-rated horse in the field, a full 9 pounds below the average rating — in practical terms, that's a significant gap in class to bridge. A 12th-place finish last time out, beaten nearly 8 lengths, reinforces just how far off the pace this horse has been. At odds of 71.0, the longest price in the race, it's hard to make a case for Jooliah troubling the leaders here.