Molly Mac

The puzzle with Molly Mac is what stops her from winning more often. Her overall record — two wins and eight places from 16 races — means she finishes in the money roughly half the time, which suggests a horse with genuine ability who simply hasn't quite found her groove. The clue lies in the ground and the distances that suit her. She absolutely thrives on fast, dry ground, winning two of seven races (29%) when conditions are good and firm, compared to nothing special on softer going. Stick her in at five furlongs to six and a half furlongs, and her win rate jumps to one in five races (2 wins from 9), which is solid for a three-year-old at her level.

The real concern is her record in the better-quality races. At Class 6 level — the top tier where she has competed six times — she has not yet won at all, which suggests there is a ceiling to what she can achieve. That said, she is still young and learning, and her recent form is trending the right way. Her last six runs read 5-1-1-6-2-4, which includes those two wins bracketed either side of a second place. She raced just yesterday and is clearly being kept busy by her trainer, who seems intent on finding the right race and conditions. If the ground stays dry and she gets a suitable opportunity at her preferred trip, Molly Mac could be worth watching.