Yarmouth

Her most recent run at Leicester ended in fourth place beaten less than a length, which is easily the closest she's come to troubling the judge in her four-race career. She has never raced on slightly soft ground before, which is an unknown, and has yet to win or place in any race. That near-miss last time out is the one reason to keep her onside.

The most battle-hardened horse in the field with 49 races under his belt — nearly four times the field average — but three wins from all those outings tells you he's rarely threatened at the finish. His jockey has won 4 from 12 rides in the past two weeks, which is the best recent form of any rider here, but Al Baahy's own last three runs have all been fifth or worse. Today's slightly soft ground is also a concern — he has never won on anything other than good ground.

The least experienced runner in the field with just four career races, Nicely Curved is still an unknown quantity — and not in an exciting way. Last time out at Kempton she was beaten 46 lengths, which is a chastening experience by any measure. She carries the joint-highest official rating in the race, but nothing in her form suggests she deserves that ranking.

Six races and still searching for a first win or even a top-three finish, Lowestoft's best effort recently was a fourth place, beaten just two and a half lengths at Southwell. That's marginally encouraging, but the horse has never raced on slightly soft ground and draws in stall 12 — a high draw that historically produces winners just 6% of the time at this track. Hard to make a case.

Seventeen races without a single win makes Shaws Phoenix the most persistently winless horse in this field, and her last two runs at Wolverhampton and Southwell produced 11th and 9th place finishes. She has also raced at Yarmouth five times previously without winning. It's hard to find a reason to side with her here.

Five races, no wins, no place finishes, and one race he didn't even complete — Harry Don't Bite has given supporters precious little to work with. He hasn't raced for 77 days and has never encountered slightly soft ground, adding two more question marks to an already uncertain profile. The draw in stall one is the low-draw bias territory here, but this horse needs to find improvement from somewhere first.

Seven races without a win or a place finish, and the widest draw in the field in stall 13 — a position that historically wins just 6% of races at this track. This is a first-time pairing between jockey and trainer, which rarely inspires confidence. There is little here to suggest a change in fortune today.

Six races, six blanks — Caitlin G has finished ninth in her last three completed outings, and the form column makes for grim reading. She carries the lowest weight in the field, which gives a slight advantage, but there is no evidence in her record to suggest she can reverse this trend today. Never having raced on slightly soft ground adds another layer of uncertainty.