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Padua

Padua is a horse still searching for his moment. The four-year-old has won just once in 11 races — back in July 2024 at Haydock Park — and has picked up three other places from the remainder of his attempts. That single victory came at Class 4 level, where he actually shows some aptitude: one win from four races at that grade suggests he belongs there, even if the results have dried up in the months since.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Magna Grecia
Mother
Heart Power
Owner
P C J Dalby R D Schuster
Rating
77

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His trainer, Hughie Morrison, based at East Ilsley in Berkshire, clearly sees something worth persisting with. Morrison's stable has sent out 20 winners this season, so the yard is firing on all cylinders, and the trainer's notes suggest Padua has run some respectable races in defeat — he was nearly caught out on his debut at Lingfield in November when sent off at 125-1, and ran a solid effort at Kempton in April behind a decent opponent. The issue, Morrison hints, is patience and placement rather than lack of ability. Padua races best over 7 furlongs to a mile, and at that trip he has won one of five races (a 20% win rate), which is noticeably sharper than his overall record. For a horse still seeking to prove himself at four years old, that window of opportunity at the right distance and the right race is crucial.

With his last run just over a day ago, Padua is still an active member of the stable and clearly has Morrison's backing to find another winning opportunity. The ground conditions, as his trainer notes, may yet be the key — sometimes a horse needs the right conditions to click into place. At this level and with this record, he remains a work in progress, but the foundation is there if the yard can time it right.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Aug
3rd
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
27 Jul
9th
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 11 runners
1 Jul
4th
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners
10 Jun
11th
Great Yarmouth
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners
7 Aug
4th
Sandown Park
7f – 1m · Good · 7 runners
19 Jul
🏆 Won
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
25 Jun
4th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 11 runners
5 Jun
DNF
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
21 Apr
5th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
4 Dec
7th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
3 3 other 25 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 19 Jul 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 18 Aug 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 1 Jul 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%