What really sets Varian apart is his record at the very top of the sport. He has won 47 Class 1 races — the biggest, most prestigious races in Britain — at some of the most famous venues in the calendar: Ascot, Newmarket, Sandown Park. Most trainers spend entire careers chasing that kind of haul. He added to it as recently as June this year at Musselburgh, and again at Doncaster in September, which shows his horses are not just performing at big southern tracks but travelling and winning wherever the best races take them.
Chester is worth highlighting specifically. Four winners from just 10 runners at that track is remarkable. Chester is famously tight and technical — horses that handle it tend to be well-drilled and adaptable — and a 40% win rate there suggests Varian understands exactly what it takes to succeed on that circuit.
His go-to jockey is Jack Mitchell, and between them they have built something genuinely productive. Mitchell has ridden 19 winners from 129 rides for the yard — winning roughly 1 in every 7 times, or 15% of the time — but the more telling figure is how often Varian sends Mitchell out on horses with a real chance. That kind of regular partnership usually means a trainer has found someone whose instincts they trust.
Perhaps most interesting of all is what is happening right now. Over the last two weeks, Varian's horses have won 7 times from just 22 runners — a win rate of 32%, nearly double his already-healthy seasonal average. In racing, a yard firing at that kind of tempo is usually in peak condition: the horses are fit, happy, and ready to run. If you were ever going to follow a trainer closely, the moment when they hit a purple patch like this is exactly when it gets interesting.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton Park | 55 | 10 | 18.2% |
| Wolverhampton | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| Newcastle | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| Newmarket | 28 | 1 | 3.6% |
| Doncaster | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| chelmsford | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| Lingfield Park | 25 | 5 | 20% |
| Newbury | 25 | 2 | 8% |
| Goodwood | 24 | 2 | 8.3% |
| Southwell | 23 | 8 | 34.8% |
| Ascot | 23 | 1 | 4.3% |
| Windsor | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| Nottingham | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
| Haydock Park | 15 | 3 | 20% |
| Sandown Park | 14 | 4 | 28.6% |
| Great Yarmouth | 14 | 2 | 14.3% |
| York | 12 | 0 | 0% |
| Leicester | 11 | 0 | 0% |
| Chester | 10 | 4 | 40% |
| Epsom Downs | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Salisbury | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Thirsk | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Hamilton Park | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Pontefract | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Redcar | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Beverley | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Bath | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Catterick Bridge | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ripon | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| The Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% |