The editorial verdict flags this locally-trained horse as seriously appealing, and it's easy to see why — she won at Bellewstown just 28 days ago and is second-highest rated in the field. With only six races on her record she's still relatively unexposed, and coming here in form rather than off a long break gives her a clear edge over several rivals.
The editorial selection, and her last run justifies the faith — she finished second, beaten by just a length at Limerick, on her first try in a race like this. She's still without a win from seven races, but that staying-on second shows she's improving and handles the trip. The open question is how she handles slightly soft ground, which she's never encountered before.
The market favourite at just 5.4, Simple Things is the most interesting puzzle in the race — she's never won from five races but has placed three times, including a second just 28 days ago at Bellewstown. At only four years old she's the youngest in the field and clearly progressive, though today's slightly soft ground and this jockey-trainer pairing are both untested. The market clearly thinks the win is coming soon.
Never raced on slightly soft groundMarket favourite (5.4)
Still looking for a first win from four races, Crystal Gold is the least experienced runner in the field alongside a couple of others, and this is a new jockey-trainer partnership with no shared history to draw on. She's also never raced on slightly soft ground. There's youth and potential here, but too many unknowns for a 16-runner field.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Twenty-two career races for just one win tells a blunt story — this is a horse that runs consistently without delivering. She also has zero wins from nine combined attempts on soft or wet ground, which is a serious red flag for today's conditions. A third-place finish at Tramore 26 days ago shows she's active, but winning remains elusive.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (189 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Her only career win came right here at Wexford over this course and distance, which makes her one of only two horses in the field who have won on this track. She's been off for six months since a poor run at Gowran Park, so there's a fitness question — but a horse who has already proved she can win here deserves respect.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
She's been placed in four of her last five completed races, including two seconds, and has the best record in the field on slightly soft ground — winning once from three attempts on that surface. The worry is she's better on good-to-yielding conditions and has never won on heavy ground, so today sits just on the edge of her comfort zone. Still, the placing record makes her more interesting than her 9-1 price suggests.
T. O'Connor(7)
·
M. Fahey
· 7yo
· 11st 8lb
· OR 106
FreshnessForm
4.2
Fresh (391 days off)Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field at 391 days is the headline fact here — over a year without a race is a huge question mark. She's also never raced on slightly soft ground, so the conditions are unknown territory, and her last two runs before this break were both beaten by wide margins. Very hard to trust.
Never raced on slightly soft groundAbsent 391 days (longest in field)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (107 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Her most recent run ended with the jockey pulling up, and she was beaten well over 20 lengths in the two runs before that — the form is as poor as it looks. The market agrees, sending her off at 23-1 despite a rating that on paper looks competitive. She's also never raced on slightly soft ground, so even her ground preference is unproven here.
Never raced on slightly soft groundUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Six races and still without a win, Last Note has also never raced on slightly soft ground, so conditions are an unknown. Her last two runs came in Britain and were underwhelming, and she's returning from a five-month break. There's not enough here to make her a compelling case in a field this size.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (266 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field by 3lbs and the best win rate here at roughly 1 in 5, Born Bright has genuine claims on paper — but there are real concerns. She hasn't raced in nine months, and her record on wet or soft ground reads zero wins from three attempts. That layoff and those conditions are two significant flags to weigh against a rating that says she should be competitive.
Top rated by 3lbsBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Won at this course & distanceFresh (284 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
She's the only horse in the field who has won over this exact course and distance, which in a 16-runner field is a genuine differentiator. The problem is she hasn't raced in nine months, and her record on the softer side of normal ground is poor — zero wins from seven tries on similar conditions. Course form is a real asset, but she needs to prove she's come back ready.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (1 from 6)
Nine races, zero wins, and one placed finish — the record speaks plainly. The jockey is also the trainer, and together they've had no wins from 13 races as a combination. There's nothing in the data that points to a change of fortunes here.
An 8-year-old who was beaten nearly 59 lengths at Tramore just 26 days ago, Fair Damsel is hard to recommend despite some useful ground stats on paper. She wins roughly 1 in every 11 races, and at odds of 41-1 the market is sending a clear signal. Recent form simply isn't good enough to make a case.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.