Wexford

A 16th-place finish last time out — beaten nearly 78 lengths — is a brutal piece of recent form and very hard to look past, particularly at 23/1 in what is a competitive field. The horse has no wins on soft ground across three attempts, which makes today's conditions an additional concern. It's hard to construct a convincing case for this one right now.

The standout fact about this horse is one no other runner in the field can match: it is the only course winner here, having won at Wexford before, and it has also won over today's exact trip of three miles — the only horse in the race with both boxes ticked. The problem is a 13th-place finish just 26 days ago, which is a sharp reminder that it needs things to fall right. If it bounces back to something close to its best, the course and distance experience make it genuinely interesting at 26/1.

A 12th-place finish at Clonmel last time out is hard to ignore, and the horse has never raced on today's slightly soft ground — so there's a real unknown about how it handles the conditions. Rated 4lbs below the field average and at 19/1, it has done nothing recently to suggest it's about to turn things around in a 17-runner field. Limited evidence to get excited about here.

Seven years old with 24 races behind it, this horse has placed nine times without making a big impression in the market here at 9/1. Its best form has come on faster ground or yielding-to-soft conditions, and today's slightly soft surface sits in a middle ground where its record is mixed. The jockey is riding this horse for the first time, which adds another element of uncertainty in a big field.

The least experienced horse in the field alongside Krishna Bellevue, with just three career races and no wins or places to its name — and crucially, it has never raced on today's slightly soft ground. Three consecutive mid-field finishes don't paint an encouraging picture, and stepping into a 17-runner field at this level is a tough ask at this stage of its career. There's simply not enough evidence to be optimistic here.

The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 6 races — and the ground data is eye-catching: two wins from three races on yielding and a win on yielding-to-soft, meaning today's slightly soft conditions could suit better than most rivals. It also won at Bellewstown just 28 days ago, so it arrives here in form and with confidence. At 17/1, this looks like one of the more interesting prices in the race given those credentials.

This horse has never raced on today's slightly soft ground, which is a real unknown heading into this race, and its best form has come on faster, drier conditions where it has won once from five attempts. Two pulled ups in recent history are a concern, and fifth place last time out was beaten 26 lengths. The ground question alone makes this a difficult bet.

A 10-year-old at big odds despite holding one of the higher ratings in the field — the market clearly isn't convinced, and recent form offers little argument, with two heavy defeats in its last two completed runs. The jockey-trainer combination has failed to win together in 17 races, which is a notable stat in a competitive field. At 34/1, it's hard to make a strong case here.

Five races, no wins, no places, and a pulled up on its most recent outing at Kilbeggan 22 days ago — this is one of the most inexperienced horses in the field and the record so far gives little encouragement. The lowest-rated horse in the field alongside a few others, it's carrying one of the lighter weights, but that advantage only goes so far when the form book is this bare. Hard to make a case for it at this stage.