Punchestown
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QuinnBet Novice Handicap Chase (Listed Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market's pick for this race and the editorial selection too — carrying less weight than most of the big-rated rivals is a built-in advantage in a 24-runner handicap. The honest concern is that he has never won on soft ground in three attempts, but the trip and the track are described as suiting, and three consecutive top-three finishes show this horse is knocking on the door.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (4.7)
Super Value
TrackLab Insight
Paul Townend — the stable's number one jockey — has chosen this horse over seven stablemates, which is about as strong a vote of confidence as you can get. Back-to-back top-three finishes including a win at Cork 26 days ago shows this horse is in fine form right now, and the Mullins yard wins roughly 1 in every 7 races they run at the moment.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"We're going to send him over fences, and he has schooled nicely. He's a nice horse who had some good runs in top novice hurdles last season and, hopefully, he can take another step forward now he switches to chasing. 17-11-25"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Has finished second in two consecutive races, both at Naas, showing he is consistent but yet to convert that into a win recently. The Mullins yard is in fine form, but Danny Mullins and this trainer have won together at a rate of less than 1 in 6, and the horse's overall record of three wins from thirteen races is modest for this level.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2024
"He's a nice sort who needed the summer to mature. I'm very happy with what he's doing at the moment and he should be a smart staying novice hurdler. 25-11-24"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Back-to-back wins at Sandown in the last 90 days makes this horse one of the in-form runners in the field, and dropping down in class from where it has been competing should help. The critical unknown is that it has never raced on soft ground, and it has never won on a left-handed track in five attempts — Punchestown is left-handed, which is a concern that the form book cannot resolve.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on soft ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He'll go chasing this season. He was always a very good jumper and I think chasing could bring out some improvement in him. He'll be ready to start at the beginning of December and he's potentially well handicapped. 19-11-25"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Trained by Nicky Henderson, who has been in red-hot form with 6 wins from 21 runners in the last two weeks, and this horse drops down in class from where it usually races — both encouraging signs. However, Noble Park has never won on soft or good-to-soft ground in six attempts, which is a significant problem given today's conditions.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Trainer in best form (6 from 21 last 2wk)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"We're getting there with him. He's run some very respectable races but we tried to keep him for the £100,000 race at Punchestown and it wasn't far enough for him. He jumps fences really well so we'll go novice chasing and he'll go up in trip. 21-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the leading group with just seven races under its belt, and a fall last time out at Fairyhouse is the most recent piece of form — not ideal. Before that it was well beaten at Cheltenham, and with an inexperienced jockey aboard who has yet to win from six rides together, this looks like a tough ask.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the entire field — winning roughly 1 in every 2 races — and a win at Naas just 54 days ago confirms he is in form right now. The single biggest concern is that he has never raced on soft ground before, and today's wet conditions at Punchestown represent a genuine unknown for a horse who has never had to answer that question.
Never raced on soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, having won here at Punchestown before, which is a genuine asset in a 24-runner chase. A close second at Cork just 26 days ago shows he is in form, though Cheltenham in between was a poor effort — and an apprentice jockey who hasn't won in seven recent rides is a slight worry.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
The soft ground is genuinely this horse's friend — two wins from five races in wet conditions is the best ground record in the field for this type of surface, and that matters today. The worry is a tendency to struggle on right-handed tracks with zero wins from five attempts, and Punchestown is a left-handed course, so that particular concern does not apply here.
Relatively inexperienced (10 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Only one win from thirteen races is a thin record for this type of race, and zero wins on soft ground from three attempts makes today's conditions unhelpful. The one bright spot is that jockey Donagh Meyler has been riding well recently with 4 wins from 17 rides in the last fortnight — but even good jockeys need a horse beneath them.
Jockey in best form (4 from 17 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
One of the more experienced horses in the field with 24 races and four wins, but the form book makes for uncomfortable reading — three poor recent runs, and zero wins from five attempts on soft ground. The cheekpieces and tongue strap are clearly there to try to sharpen him up, but an 89-day absence adds another layer of uncertainty.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Won at Wexford 45 days ago and carries the support of the powerful Mullins yard, but has never raced on soft ground before — a real unknown heading into today. The market is not interested, with the price drifting from 26s to 34s, and a record of only two wins from eleven races overall does not inspire confidence in a competitive 24-runner field.
Never raced on soft ground
TrackLab Insight
A winner at Down Royal just 45 days ago on soft ground, which ticks two important boxes for today — recent form and the right conditions. The concern is that his overall record away from that one win is patchy, and Harry Cobden has yet to win from two rides together with this trainer, so the partnership is relatively untested.
Among the more experienced (14 career races)
TrackLab Insight
This horse carries the best record on today's ground type in the entire field — two wins from four races in these wet conditions — which makes it genuinely interesting despite long odds of 34s. A close second at Navan 41 days ago shows it is in good order, though the jockey has yet to win from five rides for this yard, which is a minor note of caution.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)
TrackLab Insight
One of the more successful horses in this field with five wins from fifteen races, but his last two runs have been well beaten and that Cheltenham flop just 50 days ago is hard to ignore. He loves good-to-yielding ground and has won three of four races on it, but today's wet conditions are a real question mark — he has never won on soft ground in five attempts.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
A puzzling runner — rated higher than most rivals here, with a solid record of three wins from nine races, but the market has pushed him out from 15s to a 40s outsider, suggesting punters know something. His best form comes in wet conditions with two wins from four races on heavy ground, so today's soft surface at least plays to his strengths.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
One of just a handful of course winners in this 24-runner field, which counts for something at Punchestown, but the data suggests today's conditions are squarely against him — zero wins from three attempts on soft ground. He has drifted sharply in the market from 13s to 32s, and his form away from fast ground has been poor.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
A winner at the top level at Kelso in March, which on paper makes him one of the classier horses in the field, but he was only sixth at Aintree just 21 days ago and has never raced on soft ground. Having drifted from 19s to 30s in the market, punters are not convinced the Scottish form translates to a wet Punchestown test.
Never raced on soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive top-three finishes is a solid run of form, and the horse does have a win to its name on soft ground — so the conditions are not a barrier. With only one win from eight races overall though, this horse needs to find improvement to trouble the leaders in a strong 24-runner field.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Three straight top-three finishes and a record that suggests today's trip of 2m 4f is where it performs best — one win from three races at this distance. But only one win from fourteen career races is a slim return, and at odds of 50s the market firmly agrees this is an outside chance at best.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Drops down in class for this race, which on paper is an advantage, but was well beaten at Newton Abbot just 17 days ago and the trainer-jockey combination have had no winners from 14 runners in the last fortnight. This is a British-based horse taking on a strong Irish field, and the market has pushed it out to 48s accordingly.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
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Win (they finish 1st)
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£5
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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