Punchestown

One race, a sixth-place finish, and trained by Willie Mullins — whose yard has been in outstanding form recently, winning roughly 1 in 7 races over the past two weeks. That trainer angle is the main hook here, because the racecourse form itself is thin. At 7.2 in the market, punters are clearly pricing in the Mullins factor rather than anything they've seen on the track.

Largy Star has finished second and third in its two career races — the most consistent placed record of almost any horse in this field. It has never raced on soft or muddy ground though, which is a real unknown given today's conditions. At 15.0 and coming into the race in form, it's one of the more interesting each-way options among the mid-market runners.

Premier Division finished third at Leopardstown last time out — in the same race where today's favourite Cityofblindinlites finished second. That head-to-head comparison is the key piece of information here, and it suggests this horse was already beaten by the market leader on that occasion. Two consecutive third-place finishes show it's consistent, but Gordon Elliott's runner needs to find improvement to reverse that form.

This horse is the most unusual entry in the field — seven years old but with just one career race, a third-place finish at this very course, nearly three years ago. That 933-day absence is the longest in the entire field by a country mile, and no horse can be assessed with confidence after a gap that long. Trained by Willie Mullins, which keeps it interesting, but the question marks are enormous.