Punchestown
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Boodles Champion Hurdle (Grade 1)
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Lossiemouth is the standout on every measure that matters: top-rated in the field by seven pounds clear of her nearest rivals, the only horse here with a perfect record at Punchestown (three races, three wins), and has won 14 of her 18 career races — a win rate of 78% that is genuinely extraordinary at the highest level. She won the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham 52 days ago and now returns to a track she has never been beaten on. The shortest-priced favourite in the race by some distance, and the data explains exactly why.
Top rated by 7lbs
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (5 from 9)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
William Munny has actually won over this exact course and distance before, and his overall record is remarkably clean — never finishing outside the top three in any of his six career races. The enormous question mark is his absence: he has not raced for 416 days, which is the longest layoff of any horse in this field by a considerable distance. Coming back cold into a Grade 1 against horses in peak form is one of the hardest asks in racing.
Has won over this course and distance
Absent 416 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2025
"He'll be on the boat over after his win at Punchestown. He'd been doing everything wrong given he's been too keen and making mistakes. But he's still been running to figures that suggest he'll be there or thereabouts in a Supreme. He has so much natural ability, and Punchestown was his last bit of work before the Supreme. 20-2-25"
TrackLab Insight
The second-highest rated horse in the field on paper, but his last three races have all been heavy defeats — beaten 18 lengths at Cheltenham twice and nearly 15 lengths at Leopardstown before that. He also has no wins at all on soft ground, and today's wet conditions are a real concern. Hard to make a case for him at 14-1 when the form book has been pointing firmly in the wrong direction.
2nd highest rated (OR 155)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2026
"I've tried a couple of things with him and I've one or two more things to try, which might make him competitive. I've been a little disappointed with him as the year has worked out, but I haven't given up hope. 12-02-26"
TrackLab Insight
Eight career wins is the second-best record in this field, and two of those came on soft ground — so today's conditions should not be a problem. However, her last two runs at Cheltenham and Aintree were both disappointing fifth and fourth-place finishes, and she is the lowest-rated horse in the field by official ratings. She has the experience and the wet-ground form, but she will need to find improvement on recent efforts to trouble the market leaders.
One of the more successful in the field (8 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"She scoped very dirty after her disappointing comeback at Wetherby, which made me look a fool, but she's grand now. We've a couple more checks to do before we commit to the Fighting Fifth, but that's vaguely the plan. Last season was magic and it would be lovely to prove what happened in the Champion Hurdle wasn't a fluke. I just want a clean run so we can knuckle down and prove she's more capable than a lot of people give us credit for. We're a little bit limited in options, but it's important to get some runs into her before Cheltenham in March and races like the Christmas Hurdle, Relkeel and International will be considered. The Champion Hurdle is the ultimate aim. 23-11-25"
TrackLab Insight
Seven wins from fifteen races makes Wilful one of the most consistent horses in the field, and he arrives here on the back of three straight top-three finishes including a win at Cheltenham 49 days ago. He also has an exceptional record on soft ground — four wins from five attempts, or 80% — which makes today's conditions very much in his favour. At 19-1, he has drifted in the market but his recent form and ground record make him one of the more interesting outsiders here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"We've always liked him and he finished last season well when winning at Ayr and going mightily close at Punchestown. The Welsh Champion Hurdle was a good stepping stone into this season, and we think there will be plenty of improvement to come. In those competitive handicaps, where they go a proper gallop, two miles suits him well - those are the sort of races we'll be looking at. 18-11-25"
TrackLab Insight
Willie Mullins is in red-hot form right now, sending out 9 winners from 67 races in the past two weeks, which gives every horse in his yard a boost. But Absurde finished a distant 20th at Cheltenham last time out and has never won on a right-handed, wide-open track — and Punchestown is exactly that. At 41-1, the market is telling you something, and the data backs it up.
Trainer in best form (9 from 67 last 2wk)
TrackLab Insight
This is a fascinating puzzle of a horse: on truly heavy, muddy ground he wins 1 in every 2 races, which is a remarkable record, and he is one of the few horses in this field who has actually won at Punchestown before. The catch is that today's ground is soft rather than truly heavy — and on soft ground specifically, Glen Kiln has zero wins from four attempts. A fine line could make all the difference.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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