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Absurde

Absurde is a horse who has made a habit of turning up on the biggest occasions and delivering. The eight-year-old has won 5 of his 18 career races — that's a win rate of 28%, or roughly 1 in every 3.5 races — and crucially, two of those wins have come at the very top level. A Class 1 victory at Cheltenham in March 2024, followed by another at Chester five months later, tells you this is a horse built for the spotlight. When it mattered most, he showed up.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Fastnet Rock
Mother
Incroyable
Owner
H O S Syndicate
Rating
151

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
5
Wins
27.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The trainer behind all of this is Willie Mullins, operating out of Muine Bheag in County Carlow — one of the most powerful yards in the sport, having sent out 220 winners already this season alone. That context matters. Mullins has his pick of serious horses, so the fact that Absurde has been pointed at the biggest races, and won them, says something about the regard he's held in.

On normal ground, Absurde is particularly dangerous — 3 wins from 7 races at 43%, or nearly 1 in every 2. His most recent victory came at Plumpton in April 2025, a Class 2 race where his jockey described it almost in awe: "When you're on a horse with so much class it's easy." That kind of quote doesn't get thrown around lightly. The horse was described as settling beautifully, jumping brilliantly, and doing it all with an air of effortless authority.

Since then, however, Absurde has not won in his last 6 races, a run that includes a trip to Australia for the Melbourne Cup at Flemington — arguably the most famous flat race in the southern hemisphere. He ran honestly there, according to jockey Kerrin McEvoy, picking up well despite a slow early pace, though the result wasn't a winning one. Willie Mullins has since confirmed the horse will be given a break, with no immediate targets in mind.

So where does that leave Absurde? Somewhere genuinely interesting. A horse with two top-level wins, a trainer who thinks the world of him, and a well-earned rest ahead. He's been around the very best races on the calendar — Cheltenham, Chester, the Melbourne Cup — and handled them. When he comes back, it would be a surprise if the ambitions were any smaller.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 7 runners
5 Apr
2nd
Cork
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 7 runners
13 Mar
20th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 24 runners
2 Feb
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 29 runners
16 Aug
3rd
The Curragh
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
14 Jun
2nd
York
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 5 runners
8 May
3rd
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 6 runners
20 Apr
🏆 Won
Plumpton
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
14 Mar
3rd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
31 Aug
🏆 Won
Chester
1m6f – 2m · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Won / Rode
Harry Cobden Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 13 Mar 33.3%
Chester
Tight
2 1 win, 1 third 8 May 50%
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 14 Jun 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 1 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 4 Feb 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 16 Aug 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 win 15 May 100%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 win 20 Apr 100%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 20 Jun 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 second 5 Apr 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 1 Aug 0%