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Western Fold

Seven wins from 22 races, a win rate of 32% — roughly 1 in every 3 — makes Western Fold one of the more reliable horses in Gordon Elliott's formidable yard, which has sent out an extraordinary 209 winners this season alone. The seven-year-old is not just ticking along either. He raced just yesterday, having won at Punchestown on 28 April 2026, and his recent form reads 1-1-3-2-10-1 — three wins from his last six races, with only one truly flat effort interrupting an otherwise excellent run.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Fieldtown
Owner
Weld-Spec (Glasgow) Ltd & Dee L'Estrange
Rating
155

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
22
Career races
7
Wins
31.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
59.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The partnership with jockey Danny Gilligan is worth highlighting. Together they have won 4 of their 7 races — that is winning more than half the time, a remarkable number in a sport where winning 1 in 4 would be considered excellent. Elliott has spoken warmly about keeping the combination together, even passing up the option of his stable jockey Jack Kennedy for big occasions because Gilligan simply gets a tune out of this horse. That kind of loyalty to a partnership tells you something.

Gowran Park is where Western Fold announced himself — his first career win came there on 11 November 2023 — and the track still suits him: 2 wins from just 4 visits. But he is no one-course wonder. Elliott was genuinely surprised by how well he ran at the Dublin Racing Festival earlier this year, considering the horse had only recently returned to full training. After Galway, Elliott described a performance that was "poetry in motion", though he admitted a 10lb penalty handed out after that win had him worried it might be enough to stop him. It wasn't.

The trainer's one consistent message is that the ground matters enormously. Western Fold likes it quick and dry — firm, fast conditions bring out the best in him — and when everything clicks, the jumping is fluent and the finishing speed is there. A horse who wins 7 from 22, keeps finding the frame when he doesn't win, raced as recently as yesterday, and has a trainer of Elliott's calibre actively planning big targets around him — Western Fold is clearly a horse who is taken seriously, and for very good reason.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Strong overall win rate: wins 32% of races
Effective partnership with Danny Gilligan: 57% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 1 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to yielding (mild give)
Ok
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Apr
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners
11 Mar
10th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
1 Feb
2nd
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
1 Nov
3rd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 7 runners
4 Oct
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 5 runners
30 Jul
🏆 Won
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 22 runners
26 May
🏆 Won
Ballinrobe
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Tipperary
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 16 runners
27 Mar
2nd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 12 runners
9 Mar
3rd
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
57.1%
Win rate
4/7
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
4 2 wins, 2 other 4 Oct 50%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
3 3 other 14 Dec 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 28 Apr 50%
Down Royal
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 1 Nov 50%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Mar 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 1 Feb 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 win 26 May 100%
Galway
Tight
1 1 win 30 Jul 100%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 win 8 May 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 second 27 Mar 0%
Downpatrick
Undulating
1 1 third 15 Sep 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Mar 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Jan 0%