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C'Est Ta Chance

C'Est Ta Chance is a seven-year-old who has taken his time to find his feet, but the signs are that he is finally putting it all together at just the right moment. Trained by Willie Mullins at Muine Bheag in Co Carlow — a yard that has sent out 230 winners already this season, which gives you some sense of the level of operation behind this horse — he has three wins and five places from 14 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5. That is a solid record, and it becomes more interesting when you notice that two of those three wins have come in his last six races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Elm Park
Mother
Kadiana
Owner
Simon Munir & Isaac Souede
Rating
142

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
3
Wins
21.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
16 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His first career win came at Clonmel in December 2024, and Mullins had flagged early on that this was a horse who would need time and distance to show his best — describing him as more of a stayer than a speed horse who would want a trip. That kind of patient reading of a horse often tells you a lot about a yard's confidence in what they have. He followed up at Thurles in March 2026, and afterwards jockey Paul Townend was notably enthusiastic, saying the horse had shown a lovely attitude and was showing much more over fences, adding that he felt C'Est Ta Chance was putting it together now and could keep improving. That phrase — putting it together — is the one to hold onto.

His recent form reads 8-1-1-4-5-18, which means two wins sandwiched between some less impressive efforts. The 18 is an outlier — a bad day rather than a trend — and the back-to-back wins suggest that form is real and current. His Gowran Park run also drew a notable quote from trainer's assistant David Casey, who explained that it came down to whoever could stay on the bridle longest in very wet, energy-sapping ground, and that C'Est Ta Chance grabbed his chance when it mattered. That kind of racecraft — being in the right place at the right moment — is exactly what separates horses who win once from horses who keep winning. He raced 16 days ago and is still active, so there should be more to come.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
6 Apr
8th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 30 runners
5 Mar
🏆 Won
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
22 Jan
🏆 Won
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 9 runners
28 Dec
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
21 Nov
5th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
1 May
18th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 28 runners
12 Apr
4th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
22 Mar
4th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
20 Feb
4th
Punchestown
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 5 runners
18 Jan
2nd
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Daryl Jacob
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 22 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 1 May 0%
Ayr
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Apr 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 win 5 Mar 100%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 win 3 Dec 100%
Gowran Park
Undulating
1 1 win 22 Jan 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Dec 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Mar 0%