The race preview flags him as one worth another chance, but the raw form makes that hard to justify — his last four completed runs are all double-figure finishes, including three 11ths and a 12th. He has also never won on normal ground in nine attempts, which is the condition he faces today. The editorial tip may be based on his rating looking lenient, but there is a lot of poor form to overcome first.
Won at this course & distanceWearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in this field with a winning record at both this course and over this exact distance — two wins from 13 races at seven furlongs is a clear edge worth noting. The problem is that both of those wins came on wet or muddy ground, and with normal conditions today, she has never won on this kind of surface across ten attempts. That drift in the betting from a very short price suggests those who know her best aren't confident.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record at this trip (2 from 13)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The race preview singles him out as one to like, and the form backs that up — he has finished in the top four in five of his last six races, which is more consistent than most in this field. He carries the second-highest official rating here, suggesting the handicapper respects him too. The concern is that his sole win came on normal ground but he has never won on it in six tries, which is a puzzling gap in the record.
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 49 races compared to a field average of around 25. His last two runs produced a second and a third at Leicester, both beaten by less than a length, so the form is live and current. The worry is that he has never won on normal ground in six attempts, which is exactly what he faces today.
Most experienced (49 runs, field avg 25)Market favourite (6.0)
Wearing visorWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, and crucially his Lingfield win came just 22 days ago — he is in form right now, not chasing past glories. He also has an 18% win rate on normal ground across his career, which suits today's conditions perfectly. The combination of recent course form and a ground profile that fits makes him one of the most relevant runners here.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (196 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
A six-time course specialist at Brighton with three wins there, but the key problem today is that this race is at Lingfield, where he has raced six times without winning. He also hasn't raced in nearly 200 days, which is the longest absence of any horse in this field, and horses returning from that kind of break often need the run to blow away the cobwebs. His best form comes on fast, dry ground rather than normal conditions.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Fresh (201 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The most straightforward fact about this horse is the hardest to ignore: 19 races, zero wins — the only winless horse in the entire field. He also carries the lowest weight here, which is a reflection of being rated 11 points below the field average, the biggest gap of any runner. On top of that, he returns from a 201-day absence with a jockey who has never ridden him before, making this a very difficult race to back him in.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldAbsent 201 days (longest in field)
Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old who has found a level of consistency in her career — two wins and five places from 14 races — but the data shows she has never won on a left-handed galloping track in five attempts, and Lingfield fits that profile. Her last run was a seventh at Southwell, and at 15-to-1 the market is not particularly excited about her chances today. Honest enough, but lacking the specific conditions that bring out her best.
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of the more experienced horses here with 26 races under his belt, but Lingfield is a course he has visited five times without winning — a red flag that stands out in the data. His best record comes on wet or muddy ground, and today's normal conditions don't play to his strengths. He tends to finish in the frame rather than win, and nothing in his profile suggests today will be different.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The biggest outsider in the field at 21-to-1, and the recent form does little to argue against that price — a 12th-place finish beaten over 40 lengths at Southwell stands out as particularly alarming. He has one win from 22 races across his career, and the data shows he has never won on either a left-handed or right-handed galloping track, which covers most of what's out there. Hard to make a case for him here.
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
She carries the best career win rate in this entire field — winning roughly one in every five races — but that headline figure is almost entirely built on her extraordinary record at Brighton, where she has won three times from just six visits. Today's race is at Lingfield, and her last three runs at other tracks have produced finishes of 9th, 6th, and 10th. Take Brighton out of the equation, and the form collapses.
Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.