The market favourite despite never having won in six races — but those three second-place finishes in his last four outings show this horse is consistently competitive. Today he wears cheekpieces for the first time, which is a piece of equipment designed to sharpen focus, and the editorial flags that as a key factor. If it has the desired effect, he has the recent form to be right there at the finish.
Never raced on normal groundMarket favourite (2.64)
The editorial verdict picks this horse as the one to beat, and it's easy to see why — a strong second last time out at Wolverhampton was a big step forward after two poor runs, and that form line of 2-8-7 in reverse makes more sense when you read it as a horse rediscovering its best. Like Thanos and several rivals, he has never raced on normal turf before, but the recent evidence suggests he is heading in the right direction. Second favourite in the market at 3.65.
Dropping in classWearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Rated 7lbs below the field average — the lowest-rated horse in the race — and steps up two class levels today, which makes her task significantly harder than her recent runs. That said, back-to-back fourth places are a genuine improvement on what came before, and she has the most recent run in the field at just 14 days ago. The class rise is a big ask, but she is at least arriving in decent form.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageSteps up 2 classes
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Placed in two of his last three races, finishing second and third at Kempton, which shows he is in decent current form. He also wears cheekpieces today, the same gear Thanos is trying — both are hoping the equipment gives them an edge. The jockey-trainer partnership here wins roughly 1 in 3 races together, which is a solid record.
Five races and still looking for a first win, with a best finish of third — and that came six lengths behind the winner. Ran at this exact course 35 days ago and could only manage seventh. Nothing in the record suggests things are about to change.
Four races and not a single top-three finish, with her best effort a fifth place. The jockey-trainer combination has won just once from 21 races together, which is a very thin record. There is little in the data to suggest she can turn things around in this company.
The most experienced horse in the field by a clear distance — 10 races compared to a field average of 5 — but all that experience has yet to produce a single win. She has been fourth and fifth in her last two runs, which is competitive without being threatening. This is also the first time this jockey and trainer have worked together, which adds another unknown.
Rated highest in the field by some margin but has never raced on normal turf conditions before, so today is genuinely unknown territory. A distant 12th last time out makes it hard to trust, and those odds drifting to 26/1 suggest the market has seen enough. Hard to make a case here.
Four races without a win or a place, and she has never raced on normal turf ground before — so conditions today are completely new. The one result we don't have a finishing position for came at this course 122 days ago, which adds a small layer of mystery. On what we can see, it's hard to be optimistic.
Fresh (248 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Has been off the track for 248 days — the longest absence in the field by some distance — and returns having finished 9th, 10th, and 11th in her three career races. That is a very tough record to look past, and a long break makes improvement harder to predict. The market has her at 29/1, which feels about right given the evidence.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Absent 248 days (longest in field)
Eight races with no wins and no place finishes is one of the toughest records in this field, and a 14th place finish three weeks ago did nothing to change the picture. The jockey riding today has never been paired with this trainer before. There is very little here to work with.
Wearing blinkersFresh (238 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Returns from a 238-day absence wearing blinkers for the first time, which suggests the trainer is trying something different to spark a reaction. Her best efforts — a fourth and a fifth — came over eight months ago, and she was well beaten ninth in her last run before the break. The combination of a long layoff and a big step into the unknown makes her very hard to recommend.
Carries the lowest weight in the field, which in theory gives her an advantage, but five races have all ended in fifth or sixth place and the margins have been getting bigger, not smaller. Three consecutive sixths — beaten between 8 and nearly 14 lengths — point to a horse that is struggling to compete at this level. Hard to find a reason to back her here.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.