Lingfield
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The clear class act in this field, rated 4lbs above the next best and fresh off a win at Windsor just eight days ago. As the market favourite and top-rated horse, expectations are high — but it's worth noting all three of its previous runs on normal ground ended without a win, which gives rivals something to aim at.
Top rated by 4lbs
Market favourite (1.73)
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the race with 37 outings, but recent form is poor — finishing 9th, 5th, and 8th in her last three races. She also has no wins from four runs on normal ground and has never won on a left-handed course like Lingfield in 13 attempts, which are serious red flags here.
Among the more experienced (37 career races)
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old veteran with 35 races under his belt, but only 3 wins to show for it — that's roughly 1 in every 12 outings. He ran a solid second at this very course 53 days ago, and on normal ground he actually wins 1 in every 4 races, making him more interesting here than his odds suggest.
2nd highest rated (OR 70)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2022
"Formerly a good staying handicapper on the Flat, he was found to have bled when pulled up in the Adonis Hurdle at Kempton and had a breathing operation straight afterwards. He's a good horse and will leave that form well behind when resuming over hurdles in five or six weeks. 31-10-22"
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the race with 57 outings, and crucially one of very few runners who has actually won at Lingfield before. However, he has never won on normal ground in six attempts, and his best form tends to come on slower surfaces — today's conditions are working against him.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
Won last time out at Fontwell but comes with a significant warning: he has never won on normal ground in five attempts, and this race is run on exactly that. He has also never won on a right-handed course like Lingfield in seven tries, so conditions here don't really suit him despite that recent win.
Mid-range in the market (16.5)
TrackLab Insight
The most striking fact about King's Castle is its record on normal ground: 5 wins from just 10 races, a remarkable 50% hit rate that no other runner here can come close to matching. The major concern is that this 9-year-old hasn't raced for 218 days — the longest absence in the field by far — and bounce-back form after such a long break is never guaranteed.
Best record on this ground (5 from 10)
Absent 218 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
No horse in this field knows Lingfield better — five wins from 14 races here is a genuinely outstanding record at a single course, and this is the one stat that could see him outrun his odds of 17-1. The downside is that he finished 7th and 9th in his last two runs, including a 7th here just 19 days ago, so he'll need to find some improvement quickly.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Course specialist (5 wins from 14 here)
TrackLab Insight
The biggest outsider in the field at 40-1, and recent form does little to argue against that price — a 13th and a 4th in his last two runs, beaten a long way each time. He has also never won on normal ground in six attempts, making it hard to build a case for him here.
Outsider at 40.0
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How do odds work?
The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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