Grace McEntee

This season tells a difficult story. Five winners from 184 rides works out at roughly 1 in every 37 races — a win rate of just 3%. That is a sharp drop from last year, when she was winning at 9%, closer to 1 in every 11. A dip like that over the course of a full season is hard to ignore. It is not necessarily a sign of anything terminal — jockeys go through lean spells, and 184 rides at least shows that trainers are still putting her up — but converting just 5 of those opportunities means she will need a strong run of form to regain the momentum she had twelve months ago.

The one area worth watching is her record on fast, dry ground, where she has won 1 from 23 races. A 4% win rate in those conditions is marginally better than her overall season average, though the sample size is small enough that it is difficult to read too much into it. Still, if the ground firms up and the right opportunity comes along, it is a sliver of encouragement in an otherwise tough campaign.

At four years in, McEntee is at one of the trickier junctures of a riding career — experienced enough to know what she is doing, but needing results to cement her position in a competitive weighing room. The 57 career winners show she can get the job done, and the volume of rides this season suggests she is not short of opportunity. The question now is whether she can turn those chances back into winners at the rate she managed last year.