Across his career so far, Kirby has sent out 6 winners from 30 runners — a win rate of 20%, or roughly 1 in every 5 races. For a yard still finding its feet, that is a genuinely impressive return. Many established trainers would be happy with those numbers.
What makes it more interesting is the recent form. In just the last two weeks, Kirby has had 3 winners from 9 runners — a win rate of 33%, well above his already solid seasonal average. That kind of short-term surge is the sort of thing that makes other trainers and racegoers take notice. It suggests the horses in his yard are in good health and good heart right now, and that Kirby is placing them in races they can actually win — one of the most underrated skills in training.
There is also an early hint that his horses perform well on fast, dry ground, winning 1 from 3 races in those conditions — a 33% win rate that mirrors his recent hot streak. It is too small a sample to draw firm conclusions from, but it is a thread worth watching as the season develops.
Less than a year in, Adam Kirby is already running at a clip that many trainers take years to reach. The story is only just beginning.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Wolverhampton | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Lingfield Park | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Great Yarmouth | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Bath | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Catterick Bridge | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Kempton Park | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% |