:

Tuscan Point

There is something quietly compelling about a horse that spends most of its career finishing just off the pace before suddenly clicking into gear — and that is exactly the story Tuscan Point is telling right now. This 4-year-old has won just 2 races from 21 in total, roughly 1 in every 10, which on paper looks modest. But zoom in on the last six races and a completely different picture emerges: two wins, three second places, and only one real disappointment. That is a horse in form, and serious form at that.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Blue Point
Mother
Tuscan Oasis
Trainer
Owner
Adam Kirby
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
2
Wins
9.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Southwell in March 2026, which cracked open the account after a long wait. Then, just last week, Tuscan Point went one better and won at Lingfield Park — confirming that the Southwell victory was no fluke. Back-to-back wins within a couple of months is the kind of sequence that turns heads, and the recent form line of 2-1-2-5-2-1 reads almost like a horse that has worked out what racing is all about. The single fifth place looks like the outlier now.

Where Tuscan Point really makes sense is on fast, dry ground and over the shorter distances — five to six and a half furlongs. Those conditions have produced both career wins from just 11 attempts at those trips, a win rate of roughly 1 in 5 (18%), which is significantly better than the overall record suggests. Normal ground specifically has been the sweet spot: 2 wins from 5 races at 40%, meaning when the underfoot conditions are right, this horse wins almost every other time out. That is a striking number.

Interestingly, regular jockey Oisin Orr has partnered Tuscan Point six times without a win between them, yet the horse has clearly been winning for someone. It is one of those quirks that the statistics throw up without an obvious explanation. Meanwhile, trainer Adam Kirby — based at Kirtling, just outside Newmarket — has sent out six winners already this season, so the yard is in decent shape. Tuscan Point raced just yesterday, which means this is a horse right in the middle of a campaign, competing regularly and currently at the peak of its form. At a level where consistency is rare, two wins in six races from a horse that spent a long time finding its feet makes Tuscan Point one of the more interesting stories running right now.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 18% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at York in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
Sprint (< 5F)
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
Sprint (< 5f) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
30 Apr
🏆 Won
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 5 runners
22 Apr
2nd
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
5 Apr
5th
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
21 Mar
2nd
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 7 runners
11 Mar
🏆 Won
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
13 Oct
3rd
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
2 Oct
6th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
15 Sep
5th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Soft · 13 runners
26 Aug
4th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Pat Cosgrave Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
7 7 other 26 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 5 Apr 33.3%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 9 May 50%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 second 22 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 second 4 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Oct 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 other 27 Apr 0%