Leopardstown
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Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap
Starts in
Awaiting result
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick for each-way value, and the angle makes sense: champion jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle takes the ride, and a fifth at Limerick 20 days ago keeps the horse in decent recent form. The rating of 48 is 3 below the field average — the lowest weight carrier among the horses with any realistic chance — which means it gets in lightly on paper. Zero wins from 22 career races is the obvious concern, but the jockey booking and the low weight are genuine positives in a wide-open race.
Winless from 22 career races
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Officially rated 11 below the field average — the joint-lowest rating in the race alongside Bang Po and Creative Dancer — and yet to win from 10 career attempts. A fifth at Gowran Park 23 days ago is the most recent form, and jockey and trainer are working together for the first time today. There is no standout reason to pick this horse out from the other bottom-rated runners in the field.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5.5, and the recent form is the clearest reason why: second, third, and fourth at Dundalk in three runs leading into this, beaten less than two lengths in two of those. The catch is that those runs came at Dundalk, and the horse has zero wins on good ground from 4 attempts — normal ground at Leopardstown is a different test. Drawn in stall 3, one of the best positions in the field, which at least removes one obstacle.
Market favourite (5.5)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with only 9 career races — unusually lightly raced for that age — and has never won, though a third at Sligo 12 days ago was its best effort in recent memory. That third-place finish is one of the more encouraging recent runs among the winless horses in this field, suggesting at least some ability. Drawn in stall 7, a reasonable position, but the rating of 40 is 11 below the field average, placing it among the least-fancied on official ratings.
Relatively inexperienced (9 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 6 races — but that record was built at longer distances and this trip of 1m5f is shorter than where it has been most effective. Drawn in stall 19, right out in the high draws where this course and distance has a brutal record: horses drawn 18 or higher win just 3% of the time here. A last-time-out 15th at Cork after being beaten 57 lengths makes this a tough sell.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
A fascinating quirk: all six of this horse's career wins have come at Dundalk — a different track entirely — and it has never won on normal ground in 8 attempts. Leopardstown is a left-handed, galloping track and Autocrat has zero wins from 15 races on that type of course. Drawn in stall 17 in a field where high draws are a real disadvantage, this looks firmly off its patch.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Second in the market at 6.5 despite having only 1 win from 28 career races — so the market is putting faith in potential rather than a strong track record. Has zero wins from 15 races on left-handed, galloping tracks like Leopardstown, and zero wins on normal ground from 5 attempts. Drawn in stall 13, mid-high, and a third at Sligo 12 days ago is the best it can offer recently.
2nd in the market (6.5)
TrackLab Insight
Placed in its last two races — second and third at Dundalk — making it one of the more consistent performers in recent form in this field. Wins roughly 1 in 5 races on normal ground and at distances around today's trip, which are two boxes ticked. The catch is that all four career wins have come at Dundalk, and drawn in stall 14 it faces a tougher task from mid-high draws at Leopardstown.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Ten races, no wins, and not even a single place finish to its name — among the winless horses in this field, that stands out as a particularly blank record. Finished 12th at Limerick just 20 days ago and has not finished in the top three in any of its career outings. Drawn in stall 1, which is as good as the draw gets at this course and distance, but the form gives little reason for confidence.
Winless from 10 career races
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field to have won at Leopardstown, with 2 wins from 16 races here — a genuine course specialist advantage that no rival can match today. The problem is that those wins came on different ground; on normal conditions Eastern Wind has zero wins from 9 attempts, which is a significant flag. Drawn in stall 12 and with patchy recent form including a 10th beaten 42 lengths, the Leopardstown track knowledge helps but the ground record is a real concern.
Only course winner (2 from 16 here)
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 61 races to the average of 24 — and has clearly seen it all, but has never won at Leopardstown in 7 attempts, which is a problem today. Does well on normal ground at other tracks (winning roughly 1 in 5 on this surface), but the form figures read 11-4-7 in recent weeks and the trend is heading the wrong way. Drawn in stall 4 which at least gives it a better chance than many of its rivals here.
Most experienced (61 runs, field avg 24)
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from 13 career races, returning from a 139-day break, and jockey and trainer are working together for the very first time — three things that rarely combine to produce a winner. The last recorded run was a 14th at Limerick, beaten 46 lengths. Stall 2 is a decent draw, but there is simply nothing in the form to suggest a first victory is close.
Winless from 13 career races
TrackLab Insight
Fourteen races, no wins, and returning from a 119-day absence — the form figures of 8th, 6th, and 4th at Dundalk in the last three runs suggest it is competitive without ever threatening. Drawn in stall 8, which sits right on the boundary of the decent low draws and the less favourable mid-draws at this course. There is nothing here to separate it from the field's other winless horses.
Winless from 14 career races
TrackLab Insight
This horse has been absent for 171 days — the longest gap of anyone in the race — and its last two completed efforts before that were a pulled-up and a 15th. Three pulled-up runs in its recent history raise serious questions about whether it will even see out the trip. Drawn in stall 20, the second-worst draw in this field, and with no wins on normal ground, there is very little in the data to recommend it today.
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Absent 171 days (longest in field)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
TrackLab Insight
At 8 years old with 50 races behind it, Numidia has the best record on normal ground of any horse in this field — winning roughly 1 in 7 races on this surface. The problem is that like several rivals today, those wins have come at Dundalk rather than Leopardstown, and a 12th last time out at Gowran Park was well beaten. Stall 5 is a solid draw, and the conditions suit, but recent form has been patchy.
Best record on this ground (1 from 9)
TrackLab Insight
Five races, no wins, no places, and consecutive finishes of 15th and 14th in its last two runs — the form is heading in the wrong direction. The standout marker listed as 'placed in 2 of last 3' appears to be an error in context, as the actual finishes are 15th, 14th, and 6th with no placed efforts recorded. Drawn in stall 16 in an unfavourable part of the draw, this looks among the least likely winners in the race.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Eight races, zero wins, zero places, and returning from a 153-day absence having finished 10th beaten 67 lengths last time out. The three most recent finishes — 10th, 13th, 8th — tell a consistent story of a horse that has not been competitive. Among the least experienced in the field and drawn in stall 6, there is very little in the data to suggest a breakthrough today.
Relatively inexperienced (8 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the race, which is a rare advantage, but six consecutive finishes between 8th and 14th make it very hard to get enthused. Its one career win came on heavy ground — wet, muddy conditions — and it has zero wins on normal ground from 5 attempts, so today's conditions do not play to its strengths. Drawn in stall 10 and with form figures of 12-9-14 in recent weeks, the weight allowance alone is unlikely to be enough.
Carries lowest weight in field
TrackLab Insight
Eleven races, zero wins, zero places, and a pulled-up run at Wexford last time out — this is among the most concerning profiles in the field. Recent form reads pulled-up, 12th beaten 89 lengths, and 8th beaten 33 lengths, none of which suggests a horse close to winning. Drawn in stall 9, a mid-draw that offers no particular advantage, and the data offers very little to work with here.
Winless from 11 career races
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a 170-day absence, which is the second-longest lay-off in this field, and last ran 12th at Dundalk before that break. Nine races, zero wins, and consecutive finishes of 12th and 12th in its last two completed runs make for grim reading. Drawn in stall 18, right in the high-draw danger zone where this course and distance punishes runners harshly.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Your pick
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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