Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Moyassr has built its entire winning career at Dundalk — four wins from ten races there — but has never won on normal ground in eight attempts, and Leopardstown is a very different environment to the all-weather surface it thrives on. Back-to-back finishes of 12th and 13th in its last two runs also suggest it is well out of form right now. The conditions and current trajectory both point away from it.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
A. Browne-Souza(7)
·
A. Slattery
· 4yo
· 9st 12lb
· OR 68
C&DHeadgear
11
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Faoladh holds a rare distinction in this field — it has actually won over this course and distance before, at Leopardstown over a mile. That is a more specific and relevant credential than most of its rivals can offer. It finished fourth here just three weeks ago, so it clearly handles the track, though it has only translated that into a win once from 13 career races.
J. Pietropaolo(2)
·
M. Andrew Ahern
· 6yo
· 9st 13lb
· OR 69
HeadgearFreshness
9.6
Wearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 4 times
TrackLab Insight
Lough Leane has the best career win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 5 races, and it comes here on the back of a win just seven days ago — fresher form than almost anyone else here. The problem is a striking weakness: it has never won on a right-handed galloping track like Leopardstown in 11 attempts, and all six of its wins on normal ground came at a different type of course. Physically in form, but the track profile is a genuine obstacle.
Runs again after just 7 daysBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"His owners, the Twenty Stars Partnership, have been lucky for us. He's always shown very little at home - hence we probably got the trip very wrong during his three-year-old campaign. He jarred himself up on fast ground and he's come back much more comfortable in 2024. He ran up a nice sequence on the all-weather, winning a nice bonus, and he's been very consistent. We'll hopefully find him another race before the end of the turf season. He handles a bit of juice in the ground and arguably his best race was at Yarmouth on soft ground, so that's the sort of thing we'd be looking at. 04-09-24"
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The draw in stall one gives God Knows a good low draw in a race where the low numbers have a measurable advantage, and its record on normal ground reads two wins from eight races — better than it might appear. However, the result from its last run at Sligo 12 days ago is missing, and a run at the Curragh before that produced a 14th-place finish, so recent form is unclear at best.
Land Of The Giants goes off as the market favourite despite having never won on normal ground in 11 previous attempts — a glaring weakness for a horse expected to beat 16 rivals. It did finally break through for its first career win at Ayr ten days ago, but that was on different ground and at a different type of track. The market confidence is hard to square with that specific record.
Ohmali has never won on a right-handed galloping track like Leopardstown in six attempts, which is a consistent weakness that directly applies today. Its only career win came at Gowran Park, and its best form has come over slightly longer distances than this mile. The result from its most recent run at Gowran Park is missing, so current form is hard to gauge.
Monvoe is the highest-rated horse in the field — rated five points above the average — which is an unusual advantage for a three-year-old in a race like this. It won at Limerick 20 days ago to get off the mark, but it has never raced on normal ground before and has failed to win on a left-handed galloping track in six attempts. The rating edge is real, but the ground and track type are both unknowns.
Wearing hoodWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict singles out Java Wood as the one to beat, and the reasoning is sound — this horse won at Dundalk last year and then shaped well back in fifth at the Curragh on its return, beaten just four lengths. It is the least experienced horse in the field with only six career races, which could mean there is still improvement to come. The concern is a blank record on normal ground in three attempts, the exact conditions it faces today.
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (70 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 45 races to its name, Rockbury Lad has never won at Leopardstown in seven attempts despite finishing second and third in recent runs at Dundalk. Back-to-back placed efforts over the winter show it is holding form, but this track has a particular hold over it that experience alone has not broken. Low draw in stall 2 is a small positive.
S. Tormey(7)
·
T. G McCourt
· 7yo
· 9st 6lb
· OR 62
FreshnessForm
4.6
Good Value
Fresh (253 days off)Won 0 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Dynamic Force has not raced in 253 days — the longest absence in the entire field by some distance — and returning from over eight months off is a major hurdle in any race, let alone a competitive 17-runner field. Its last win came nearly two years ago, and it has never won on normal ground in 11 attempts or on a right-handed galloping track in 10 tries. Almost everything points against it today.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Bucaneer's Spirit arrives here on the back of a recent win at Cork, which keeps it among the more in-form horses in this field. However, it has never won on normal ground in seven attempts, which is the exact condition it faces today — a stubborn blank against this specific surface that is hard to dismiss. The result from Punchestown 13 days ago is also unknown, adding further uncertainty around its current level.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Won 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive finishes of 9th, 10th, and 12th — all beaten well — paint a bleak picture for Proleek Prince coming into this race. At 34/1 it sits among the longer-priced runners in the field, and the jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together in six attempts. There is very little in the data to suggest a turnaround is imminent.
P. McGettigan
·
C. Murphy
· 4yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 70
FormGround
2.2
Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This horse has a genuinely strong record at this distance — winning 2 from 3 races over a mile — which stands out in a field where many runners have question marks at the trip. Wins roughly 1 in every 5 races across its career, which is a solid return at this level. The result from its last run at Bellewstown is missing from the data, so there is a small blind spot in what should otherwise be an interesting profile.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Fresh (63 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Perfect Judgement is one of only a handful of runners in this field who has actually won at a course before — but that course is Dundalk, not Leopardstown, and it has never won on a right-handed galloping track like this one in six attempts. A close fourth last time out at Dundalk shows it remains in decent form, but the track switch is a real concern given the record.
Rappell has four career wins and a solid overall record, winning roughly 1 in every 6 or 7 races, but its last three completed runs read 11th, 9th, and a missing result — not the form of a horse firing on all cylinders. It does have a decent record on normal ground with one win from four attempts, which suits today. A better draw in stall 8 helps, but recent form makes it hard to be enthusiastic.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
The standout markers here pull in opposite directions: this horse had three straight top-three finishes at one point in its career, yet its last three runs read 17th, 10th, and 11th. That finishing 17th at this very track last month is a serious red flag that is hard to overlook. The rating suggests ability, but current form says it is nowhere near that level right now.
3 straight top-3 finishesUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (200 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Sheamus Seimhiu is the most lightly-weighted horse in the field but also the lowest-rated by a clear margin — nine points below the field average. Eight races without a single win or place finish, and returning from a six-month absence, makes this one of the most straightforward cases in the field to assess. The data offers nothing to suggest this race will end differently to the previous eight.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.