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Numidia

There is something quietly stubborn about Numidia that makes her worth paying attention to. The eight-year-old has won just 4 races from 51 — roughly 1 in every 13 outings — which on paper looks modest. But dig a little deeper and a clear picture emerges: this is a horse built for one place, running her best when conditions and circumstances align just right.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Estidhkaar
Mother
No Way
Owner
Peter Lawlor
Rating
55

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
51
Career races
4
Wins
7.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
27.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That place is Dundalk, Ireland's all-weather track, and the numbers there tell a different story to her overall record. Three of her four career wins have come at that venue, from 22 races there — a win rate of around 1 in 7, which is meaningfully better than her record elsewhere. Her first win came at Dundalk in February 2023, and her most recent came there in November 2025, just six months ago. When a horse keeps returning to the same track and keeps delivering, that is not coincidence — it is preference, and experienced punters take notice.

She also tends to find her best form when the ground is normal — not too wet, not too firm — winning 3 times from 22 races on those conditions, a rate of roughly 1 in 7 again. And while her record over marathon distances of two miles or more is just 1 win from 6 races, that 1-in-6 rate is actually her strongest across any distance category, suggesting she handles a test of stamina better than most of her runs imply.

The current form is harder to spin positively. Numidia has not won in her last six races, with a run of 4, 5, 6, 4, 2, and a non-finish making up her recent record. She raced just one day ago, which tells you the yard of trainer Peter Lawlor — based in Donard, County Wicklow — is keeping her active and in the mix. Lawlor's team have sent out six winners this season, so the operation is ticking over. Regular partner Killian Leonard has ridden her 11 times and won once together, a rate of roughly 1 in 11.

The honest summary is this: Numidia is not a star, but she is a professional. She turns up, she competes, and when you get her back to Dundalk on normal ground with a bit of distance to stretch her legs, there is always a chance she reminds everyone what she can do.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 3 wins from 22 starts (14%)
Course specialist at Dundalk: 3 wins from 22 starts (14%)
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 17% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Yet to win at Down Royal in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
1M3F – 1M4F
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 May
DNF
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 20 runners
22 Apr
12th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 16 runners
27 Mar
4th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 11 runners
16 Jan
6th
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 11 runners
19 Dec
5th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
5 Dec
4th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 17 runners
26 Nov
🏆 Won
Dundalk
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 11 runners
22 Oct
9th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 26 runners
2 Oct
3rd
Bellewstown
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 14 runners
5 Sep
7th
Down Royal
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
Rory Cleary Current Jockey
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
Rory Mulligan
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Hugh Horgan
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Patrick McGettigan
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Dundalk
Galloping
22 3 wins, 4 seconds, 1 third, 14 other 27 Mar 13.6%
Down Royal
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 5 Sep 0%
Navan
Galloping
4 4 other 22 Oct 0%
Gowran Park
Undulating
4 4 other 22 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
4 4 other 15 May 0%
Naas
Galloping
3 3 other 29 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
3 2 thirds, 1 other 3 May 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
3 1 third, 2 other 2 Oct 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 2 other 19 Aug 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 win 7 Jun 100%