The market favourite and the horse the editorial verdict singles out as the only one on an upward curve in this field. Only three career races in, so there is still plenty unknown — but a near-miss at Pontefract last month, beaten just a whisker, shows a horse that is improving and learning. The big concern is those odds drifting sharply from 1.1 to 3.2, which suggests the market has cooled considerably on its chances.
Lightly raced (3 career races)Market favourite (3.2)
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 6 times
TrackLab Insight
The standout here is that Bearwith is one of only a small number of course winners in this field, having won at Ripon before — a meaningful edge in a 14-runner race. It also has the best record on today's normal ground conditions of any runner here, winning a third of its races on this type of surface. A second-place finish at Nottingham just four weeks ago suggests it is in decent enough shape heading in.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"He's a great old horse. He's won for us every year since we've had him. This year he's been having a few wind issues and it's possibly made him a bit cute. But he's a great old stick and won again at Doncaster in June. He's probably better on the all-weather, as his mark reflects. 17-09-25"
The editorial verdict names this as the main danger to the favourite, and it is easy to see why — this horse won at Newcastle just 34 days ago and arrives in form. Six career wins from 39 races is a solid record, and it has a particularly strong record at today's distance, winning roughly 1 in 3 races at this trip. The one flag is that it has never won on today's normal ground conditions, which is worth keeping in mind.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
May 2023
"He had a wind operation at the back end of last year and really thrived. We've trained quite a few of the family and they get better with age. His win first time back at Redcar showed he's on the up so we're expecting him to go on to better things, probably at a mile. 03-05-23"
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Won at Musselburgh 18 days ago and is drawn in stall 13, which is the highest-draw zone at Ripon over this trip — statistically the best position in the field. However, the data shows it has never won on normal ground conditions in four attempts, which is a direct concern for today. The form before that recent win was poor, with two very distant finishes, so the question is whether the Musselburgh run represents a genuine upturn or a one-off.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 73 career races compared to a field average of 29 — and at 11 years old, this is a genuine veteran. The brutal truth is it has never won at Ripon in 18 attempts, making today's course a persistent weak spot despite all that experience. Ran here just nine days ago and finished ninth, which is not an encouraging recent data point.
Won at this course & distanceWearing hoodWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The most compelling course record in the entire field — three wins from six races at Ripon, a 50% win rate that no other runner comes close to matching. The problem is that all of those wins have come on fast, dry ground, and today's normal conditions are a different surface on which this horse has never won in seven attempts. Recent form is also poor, with two very distant finishes at Nottingham and Doncaster.
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and 68 races into a career — one of the most experienced horses in a field where the average is 29 races. The data shows it has actually won at today's distance before, with 2 wins from 8 races over 1m2f, which is one of the better distance records in the field. Recent form has been poor though, and it has never won at this course in any of its visits.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)Best record at this trip (2 from 8)
The data flags a genuine concern for today: this horse has never won on normal ground conditions, winning all three of its races on artificial surfaces. Three consecutive fourth-place finishes in recent weeks paint a picture of a horse that competes but cannot quite get over the line. Drawn widest of all in stall 14, which is the best draw position at this course and distance — that is one thing working in its favour.
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Twelve races without a win is the headline, and the lowest official rating in the field — 6lbs below the average — tells its own story about where this horse is ranked. The jockey-trainer combination is one of the most prolific in the field with 61 wins together, but that has not translated into results for this particular horse. Hard to see a way in at 13.0.
Eight races and not a single top-three finish to show for it — the bluntest record in the field. Returning from 159 days off the track, and the last run was a thrashing beaten 48 lengths, which is as discouraging as it gets. Nothing in the data points towards a change in fortune here.
Won at this course & distanceQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, 12lbs below the field average, and carrying the lightest weight as a result — which is the handicapper's way of acknowledging just how far below these rivals it sits on official merit. It has never won on normal ground conditions in eight attempts, and the record of two wins from 41 races overall tells you this horse finds winning very difficult. Ran here nine days ago and finished sixth.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
Wearing cheekpiecesFresh (149 days off)Won 2 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 4 races, and a genuine strength at today's distance — winning half its races at this trip. The problem is a 149-day absence from the track, which is a real unknown, and the market has it at 31.0 despite that strong overall record.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Nine races and no wins, and the recent form makes difficult reading — including a pulled-up run and a third place beaten nearly 28 lengths. This is a new jockey-trainer combination too, which adds another layer of uncertainty. Hard to make a case for this one at 41.0.
The longest absence in the field by a distance — 516 days off the track — and this horse has never won in seven career races even when fully fit. The last run ended in a pulled-up, which is the worst possible note to return from. Very hard to recommend at any price.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.