The market has made Wondrous Light the favourite, and there is logic to it — this horse won at Beverley just over a month ago and followed up with a close fourth at Southwell, suggesting it is in decent form right now. However, it has never won on normal ground conditions, and its record on right-handed tracks with a long straight (like Nottingham) reads zero wins from five races. The market confidence may be slightly misplaced.
Market favourite (6.0)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2025
"She's a lovely, big, scopey type. She needs anything between 1m2f to 1m4f with a tiny little bit of give in the ground. We thought with the way she was running at Sandown last time that she was going to win, but she disappointed us to finish second behind Gloryous. She ran well in defeat and she'll be winning more races. She's a nice type who'll be an even nicer four-year-old. 20-08-25"
Ziata is one of two horses the race preview singles out as an interesting newcomer to handicap racing, and with just three career races it is lightly raced compared to most rivals. It has already raced at Nottingham before, finishing third, which is a small but useful piece of local knowledge. The draw in stall one could be tricky on a course where low draws have the worst win rate of any part of the track.
The race preview picks out Porth Eilian as the most interesting runner here, ahead of even the joint-favourite Ziata — a notable call given this horse has no wins or placed finishes in three career races. What catches the eye is the fourth-place finish at Thirsk last time, beaten by a very short margin despite never having been placed before. The draw in stall 13 is on the high side, though at this distance at Nottingham that is actually the best part of the track to be.
Jamie Sommers has finished third, third, and fourth in her last three races — consistent, competitive form that suggests a horse moving in the right direction. She also raced at Nottingham just 23 days ago and finished third, which means she already knows this course and this ground. The addition of blinkers today is a new thing to factor in, which can sometimes sharpen a horse up but is never a guaranteed improvement.
Stella Lucente has finished in the top three in every single one of her four career races — a record of consistent near-misses that no other horse in this field can match. She races again just 12 days after her last run, which suggests her trainer is happy she is in good order, and top jockey Oisin Murphy takes the ride for the first time. The question is whether she can finally convert that consistent placed form into a first win.
Volendam is the most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 19 races compared to a field average of 8 — and has been in excellent form lately with a win and a third in recent outings. The concern is significant though: this horse has never won on normal ground conditions in 14 attempts, and Nottingham's left-handed, galloping track is also a type of course where it has drawn a blank across 13 races.
Most experienced (19 runs, field avg 8)3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Galileo Charm won at Wolverhampton just over two months ago but followed that up with a fourth and then a seventh at this very course 23 days ago, beaten six lengths. That recent Nottingham run is a concern — it has already shown it can struggle here. The addition of cheekpieces today is an attempt by the trainer to sharpen things up, but the horse needs to improve noticeably on that latest effort.
Won 1 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The standout fact here is simple: Saliko has raced at Nottingham twice and won both times — the only horse in this field with a winning record at this course. That makes the odds of 23/1 eye-catching, especially for a horse rated higher than most of its rivals. The recent form has been poor, including a distant seventh last time out, so punters are clearly not convinced the Nottingham magic will strike again.
Only course winner (2 from 2 here)Best record on this ground (1 from 3)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fresh (200 days off)Won 1 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The biggest question mark over Huggable is straightforward: this horse has not raced for 200 days, the longest absence in the entire field. Before that break, it finished a distant 12th at Newmarket, so it arrives here without much recent encouragement. There is some ability buried in earlier form — two runner-up finishes — but asking a horse to come back sharp after such a long time off is always a risk.
Won 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Pretty Spirited carries the lowest official rating in the field — 12 pounds below the average — which means it has the most weight advantage over rivals if that gap reflects the true ability difference. Interestingly, it is also the only other horse in the field with a win at this exact distance of one mile. A close third at Doncaster last time out suggests it is in solid current form.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below averageOnly winner at this distanceBest record at this trip (1 from 4)
Pretty Ambitious has never raced on normal ground conditions before — all four of its career races have come on artificial surfaces — so today represents a genuine unknown. The recent form makes for difficult reading too, with a 10th-place finish last time and an 8th before that, both by wide margins. At 24/1 the market is not expecting much, and there is little in the data to argue strongly against that assessment.
Espanita has the best win rate of any horse in this field — winning roughly one in every five races — but there is a catch: every one of those races has been on an artificial surface, and today is on turf for the first time. The form has dipped since a win at Wolverhampton ten weeks ago, with a sixth and a fifth since, so the horse may be running slightly below its best right now.
Never raced on normal groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Katalyst carries the lightest weight in the field, which is an advantage in theory, but the bare record is hard to look past: seven races, no wins, no placed finishes, and a recent string of mid-pack results including a distant last-of-runners sixth at Lingfield. At odds of 41/1 the market has come to the same conclusion as the form book. There is nothing in the data to suggest a breakthrough is imminent.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.