Nottingham

Like several rivals here, Veld has only raced on artificial surfaces and steps up two class levels onto normal Nottingham turf today — a double unknown. A third-place finish at Wolverhampton shows there's some ability, but that was in easier company on a different surface. Stall 10 sits in a draw zone that wins only 12% of races at this course and distance.

Three runs, three finishes in the bottom half of the field, and beaten 15 lengths last time out at Kempton. Now asked to step up two class levels, which is the wrong direction given those results. The jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together in 10 attempts, adding another layer of doubt.

The most experienced horse in the field with nine races under its belt, yet still to win — that's a difficult record to look past. Has placed just once in all those attempts, and the most recent runs show a horse drifting rather than improving. Lowest draw in the field at stall 1, which is in the favoured low-draw zone, but that's a small positive against a big picture of underperformance.

Steps up two class levels and races on normal turf for the first time after three runs on artificial tracks — plenty to prove in new conditions. A third-place finish at Wolverhampton is the career highlight, but that was in lower company. The Fahey yard's jockey combination has a solid record together, winning roughly 3 in 7 races, though the sample is small.

Has only raced on artificial surfaces before today, so normal turf at Nottingham is new ground. The recent third at Lingfield is a notable bounce-back after two very poor runs, which makes the form hard to read. Rated 3lbs below the field average and the jockey-trainer combo is yet to win together in five attempts.

Has never raced on normal grass, all three runs coming on artificial surfaces, so Nottingham today is a real unknown. Stepping up two class levels at the same time makes this a double leap into the dark. At 26/1, the market is saying the same thing.

Rated a massive 14lbs below the field average — the biggest gap between any horse and the rest of the field — which means she carries the least weight but faces the steepest climb in terms of ability. She has placed four times in nine races, more than anyone here, but those runs came in the lowest class levels and a 6th last time out wasn't encouraging. First-time combination of jockey and trainer is another uncertainty.